The Most Important Games for the Montana St. Bobcats are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bobcats final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Montana St. Bobcats fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Montana St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Montana St. (12‑15) vs Montana (19‑8) |
23 | Montana St. Wins | X | X | 27% | 22% | 25% | 19% | 6% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 17% | 14% | 21% | 26% | 18% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Montana Wins | X | X | 11% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 24% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Sacramento St. (7‑20) vs Idaho St. (12‑13) |
5 | Sacramento St. Wins | X | X | 20% | 16% | 22% | 24% | 15% | 3% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 17% | 14% | 21% | 26% | 18% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Idaho St. Wins | X | X | 16% | 13% | 20% | 27% | 19% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Northern Arizona (15‑13) vs Eastern Washington (10‑17) |
3 | Northern Arizona Wins | X | X | 18% | 14% | 21% | 27% | 16% | 4% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 17% | 14% | 21% | 26% | 18% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Eastern Washington Wins | X | X | 16% | 14% | 22% | 25% | 19% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Northern Colorado (20‑8) vs Idaho (12‑15) |
1 | Northern Colorado Wins | X | X | 18% | 14% | 22% | 25% | 18% | 4% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 17% | 14% | 21% | 26% | 18% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Idaho Wins | X | X | 15% | 13% | 18% | 31% | 19% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Weber St. (9‑19) vs Portland St. (16‑11) |
1 | Weber St. Wins | X | X | 19% | 17% | 19% | 23% | 17% | 4% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 17% | 14% | 21% | 26% | 18% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Portland St. Wins | X | X | 16% | 12% | 22% | 28% | 18% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ||