The Most Important Games for the Northern Colorado Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Northern Colorado Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Northern Colorado Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5* First and Second Round Byes |
6* First and Second Round Byes |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | |||
| Northern Colorado (0‑0) vs Idaho (0‑0) |
20 | Northern Colorado Wins | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | ||
| Idaho Wins | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | ||
| Montana (0‑0) vs Northern Arizona (0‑0) |
1 | Montana Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | ||
| Northern Arizona Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | ||
| Eastern Washington (0‑0) vs Portland St. (0‑0) |
1 | Eastern Washington Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | ||
| Portland St. Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | ||
| Weber St. (0‑0) vs Utah Tech (0‑0) |
1 | Weber St. Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | ||
| Utah Tech Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | ||
| Southern Utah (0‑0) vs Idaho St. (0‑0) |
1 | Southern Utah Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | ||
| Idaho St. Wins | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | ||