The Most Important Games for the Northern Colorado Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Northern Colorado Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Northern Colorado Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Northern Colorado (13‑10) vs Weber St. (11‑12) |
27 | Northern Colorado Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 17% | 21% | 22% | 15% | 8% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 17% | 23% | 19% | 12% | 6% | ||
| Weber St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 16% | 27% | 24% | 16% | 8% | ||
| Portland St. (15‑6) vs Sacramento St. (9‑13) |
6 | Portland St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 14% | 18% | 22% | 18% | 12% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 17% | 23% | 19% | 12% | 6% | ||
| Sacramento St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 25% | 20% | 13% | 6% | ||
| Montana St. (13‑10) vs Idaho (13‑9) |
2 | Montana St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 13% | 18% | 22% | 18% | 13% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 17% | 23% | 19% | 12% | 6% | ||
| Idaho Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 18% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 6% | ||
| Montana (13‑10) vs Eastern Washington (5‑17) |
1 | Montana Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 18% | 23% | 19% | 12% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 17% | 23% | 19% | 12% | 6% | ||
| Eastern Washington Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 21% | 19% | 14% | 8% | ||
| Northern Arizona (8‑15) vs Idaho St. (10‑13) |
1 | Northern Arizona Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 18% | 24% | 17% | 12% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 17% | 23% | 19% | 12% | 6% | ||
| Idaho St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 18% | 23% | 19% | 13% | 6% | ||