The Most Important Games for the Northern Colorado Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Northern Colorado Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Northern Colorado Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Northern Colorado (12‑5) vs Portland St. (10‑6) |
1 | Northern Colorado Wins | 64% | 22% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 59% | 22% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Portland St. Wins | 47% | 26% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Sacramento St. (5‑11) vs Northern Arizona (10‑7) |
0 | Sacramento St. Wins | 58% | 23% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 59% | 22% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Northern Arizona Wins | 58% | 22% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Montana St. (6‑11) vs Idaho St. (6‑8) |
0 | Montana St. Wins | 59% | 22% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 59% | 22% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Idaho St. Wins | 58% | 23% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Eastern Washington (6‑11) vs Idaho (7‑10) |
0 | Eastern Washington Wins | 58% | 22% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 59% | 22% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Idaho Wins | 58% | 23% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Montana (10‑7) vs Weber St. (7‑10) |
0 | Montana Wins | 56% | 24% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 59% | 22% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Weber St. Wins | 62% | 19% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||