The Most Important Games for the Northern Colorado Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Northern Colorado Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Northern Colorado Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Weber St. (9‑19) vs Portland St. (16‑11) |
0 | Weber St. Wins | 30% | 70% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 72% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Portland St. Wins | 26% | 73% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Montana St. (12‑15) vs Montana (19‑8) |
0 | Montana St. Wins | 48% | 51% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 72% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Montana Wins | 17% | 83% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Northern Arizona (15‑13) vs Eastern Washington (10‑17) |
0 | Northern Arizona Wins | 28% | 72% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 72% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Eastern Washington Wins | 28% | 72% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Idaho St. (12‑13) vs Sacramento St. (7‑20) |
0 | Idaho St. Wins | 28% | 72% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 72% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Sacramento St. Wins | 28% | 72% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Northern Colorado (20‑8) vs Idaho (12‑15) |
0 | Northern Colorado Wins | 34% | 66% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 72% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Idaho Wins | 9% | 91% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||