The Most Important Games for the Northern Colorado Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Northern Colorado Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Northern Colorado Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Northern Colorado (9‑1) vs Montana St. (4‑6) |
5 | Northern Colorado Wins | 38% | 19% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 18% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Montana St. Wins | 29% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Weber St. (4‑5) vs Portland St. (5‑3) |
0 | Weber St. Wins | 36% | 18% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 18% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Portland St. Wins | 35% | 19% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Idaho (6‑3) vs Eastern Washington (2‑7) |
0 | Idaho Wins | 35% | 18% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 18% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Eastern Washington Wins | 36% | 18% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Idaho St. (6‑4) vs Sacramento St. (4‑6) |
0 | Idaho St. Wins | 35% | 18% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 18% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Sacramento St. Wins | 36% | 18% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Northern Arizona (4‑4) vs Montana (5‑5) |
0 | Northern Arizona Wins | 36% | 18% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 18% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Montana Wins | 35% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||