The Most Important Games for the Northern Colorado Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Northern Colorado Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Northern Colorado Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Northern Colorado (4‑2) vs Weber St. (1‑3) |
7 | Northern Colorado Wins | 29% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Weber St. Wins | 20% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Montana St. (1‑4) vs Idaho (2‑3) |
1 | Montana St. Wins | 27% | 17% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Idaho Wins | 27% | 17% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Eastern Washington (1‑4) vs Montana (2‑3) |
0 | Eastern Washington Wins | 28% | 17% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Montana Wins | 27% | 17% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Sacramento St. (1‑3) vs Portland St. (2‑1) |
0 | Sacramento St. Wins | 29% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Portland St. Wins | 27% | 16% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Northern Arizona (4‑1) vs Idaho St. (2‑4) |
0 | Northern Arizona Wins | 28% | 17% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Idaho St. Wins | 29% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||