The Most Important Games for the Northern Colorado Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Northern Colorado Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Northern Colorado Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Northern Colorado (18‑10) vs Eastern Washington (11‑17) |
14 | Northern Colorado Wins | X | 14% | 36% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 9% | 22% | 17% | 21% | 21% | 10% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Eastern Washington Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 19% | 31% | 32% | 18% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Northern Arizona (10‑18) vs Idaho (15‑13) |
7 | Northern Arizona Wins | X | 9% | 23% | 19% | 23% | 22% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 9% | 22% | 17% | 21% | 21% | 10% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Idaho Wins | X | 9% | 22% | 17% | 20% | 20% | 12% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Idaho St. (12‑17) vs Weber St. (15‑14) |
2 | Idaho St. Wins | X | 9% | 26% | 18% | 25% | 14% | 9% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 9% | 22% | 17% | 21% | 21% | 10% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Weber St. Wins | X | 8% | 20% | 17% | 17% | 27% | 11% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Montana St. (15‑13) vs Portland St. (18‑8) |
1 | Montana St. Wins | X | 3% | 27% | 19% | 21% | 20% | 9% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 9% | 22% | 17% | 21% | 21% | 10% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Portland St. Wins | X | 14% | 19% | 16% | 20% | 21% | 10% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Montana (14‑14) vs Sacramento St. (9‑18) |
1 | Montana Wins | X | 9% | 22% | 16% | 23% | 22% | 10% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 9% | 22% | 17% | 21% | 21% | 10% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Sacramento St. Wins | X | 9% | 24% | 21% | 17% | 17% | 10% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||