PlayoffStatus.com

Fri Feb 21 11:45 am

Big South Basketball - Week 16 of 17

Gardner-Webb What If?

The Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Gardner-Webb plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Gardner-Webb What If?

Next Game - High Point (24‑5)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5*
First Round Bye
6*
First Round Bye
7*
First Round Bye
8 9
Win Next Game 6 8 X X X 1% 10% 22% 62% 4% ^
Current Standings 5 8 X X X <1% 3% 9% 73% 14% ^
Lose Next Game 5 9 X X X X <1% 5% 78% 16% ^


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Regular Season Finish
  1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5*
First Round Bye
6*
First Round Bye
7*
First Round Bye
8 9
Best Case Scenario X X X X 8% 15% 77% ^ ^
Current Standings X X X <1% 3% 9% 73% 14% ^
Worst Case Scenario X X X X 1% 14% 40% 45% ^
Best Case Scenario
   Charleston Southern beats S. Carolina Upstate
   Gardner-Webb beats High Point
   Radford beats Presbyterian
Worst Case Scenario
   S. Carolina Upstate beats Charleston Southern
   High Point beats Gardner-Webb
   Presbyterian beats Radford
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5*
First Round Bye
6*
First Round Bye
7*
First Round Bye
8 9
3 of 3 100% 8 8 X X X 6% 46% 47% 1% ^ ^
2 of 3 67% 7 9 X X X X 2% 27% 71% 1% ^
1 of 3 33% 6 10 X X X X X <1% 90% 10% ^
0 of 3 0% 5 11 X X X X X X 60% 40% ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament