The Most Important Games for the CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Roadrunners final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
CSU Bakersfield Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (6‑9) vs UC Davis (8‑5) |
15 | CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 69% | ||
| UC Davis Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 71% | ||
| UC Irvine (10‑5) vs CSU Fullerton (6‑9) |
2 | UC Irvine Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 69% | ||
| CSU Fullerton Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 70% | ||
| UCSB (9‑5) vs CSU Northridge (8‑7) |
1 | UCSB Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 69% | ||
| CSU Northridge Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 69% | ||
| Hawai'i (11‑2) vs UC San Diego (11‑3) |
1 | Hawai'i Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 69% | ||
| UC San Diego Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 69% | ||
| Long Beach St. (4‑10) vs Cal Poly (6‑9) |
1 | Long Beach St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 69% | ||
| Cal Poly Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 69% | ||