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Sun Feb 15 1:30 am

Big West Basketball - Week 16 of 18

CSU Northridge Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the CSU Northridge Matadors are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Matadors final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. CSU Northridge Matadors fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

CSU Northridge Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
CSU Northridge Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3**
First Round Bye
4**
First Round Bye
5 6 7 8 NT
CSU Northridge
(16‑10)

vs
UCSB
(17‑9)
85 CSU Northridge Wins 23% 24% 30% 13% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 18% 24% 20% 13% 8% 4% <1% <1%
UCSB Wins 4% 14% 21% 26% 19% 11% 5% <1% <1%
Cal Poly
(11‑16)

vs
Hawai'i
(18‑6)
13 Cal Poly Wins 18% 18% 22% 18% 13% 8% 3% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 18% 24% 20% 13% 8% 4% <1% <1%
Hawai'i Wins 11% 19% 25% 20% 14% 8% 3% <1% <1%
Long Beach St.
(8‑18)

vs
UC Irvine
(17‑9)
13 Long Beach St. Wins 14% 21% 23% 18% 13% 7% 3% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 18% 24% 20% 13% 8% 4% <1% <1%
UC Irvine Wins 12% 17% 25% 21% 14% 8% 3% <1% <1%
CSU Fullerton
(13‑14)

vs
UC Davis
(16‑10)
6 CSU Fullerton Wins 14% 18% 25% 19% 12% 7% 4% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 18% 24% 20% 13% 8% 4% <1% <1%
UC Davis Wins 12% 18% 23% 20% 15% 8% 3% <1% <1%
UC Riverside
(8‑19)

vs
CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild
(8‑18)
0 UC Riverside Wins 13% 18% 24% 20% 13% 8% 4% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 18% 24% 20% 13% 8% 4% <1% <1%
CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Wins 13% 18% 24% 20% 13% 8% 4% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament