The Most Important Games for the Hawai'i Warriors are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Warriors final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Hawai'i Warriors fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Hawai'i Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Hawai'i (19‑7) vs UC Davis (17‑11) |
75 | Hawai'i Wins | 40% | 51% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 47% | 18% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| UC Davis Wins | 12% | 44% | 29% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| UC Irvine (18‑10) vs CSU Northridge (18‑10) |
9 | UC Irvine Wins | 32% | 44% | 16% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 47% | 18% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| CSU Northridge Wins | 26% | 46% | 21% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (8‑20) vs UC San Diego (19‑9) |
5 | CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Wins | 29% | 47% | 18% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 47% | 18% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| UC San Diego Wins | 27% | 46% | 18% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| UC Riverside (9‑20) vs UCSB (17‑11) |
3 | UC Riverside Wins | 28% | 47% | 18% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 47% | 18% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| UCSB Wins | 27% | 47% | 18% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Long Beach St. (8‑20) vs Cal Poly (12‑16) |
0 | Long Beach St. Wins | 28% | 46% | 18% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 47% | 18% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Cal Poly Wins | 27% | 47% | 18% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||