The Most Important Games for the Hawai'i Warriors are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Warriors final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Hawai'i Warriors fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Hawai'i Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| UC Riverside (18‑10) vs Cal Poly (10‑17) |
12 | UC Riverside Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 9% | 50% | 35% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 8% | 48% | 33% | 10% | ||
| Cal Poly Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 8% | 42% | 31% | 18% | ||
| Hawai'i (14‑12) vs UC San Diego (23‑4) |
9 | Hawai'i Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 18% | 57% | 21% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 8% | 48% | 33% | 10% | ||
| UC San Diego Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 6% | 47% | 36% | 11% | ||
| UC Irvine (22‑5) vs CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (12‑16) |
2 | UC Irvine Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 8% | 51% | 31% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 8% | 48% | 33% | 10% | ||
| CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 8% | 34% | 45% | 12% | ||
| UC Davis (15‑12) vs CSU Northridge (19‑7) |
0 | UC Davis Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 3% | 54% | 33% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 8% | 48% | 33% | 10% | ||
| CSU Northridge Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 12% | 44% | 34% | 10% | ||
| UCSB (17‑10) vs Long Beach St. (7‑20) |
0 | UCSB Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 9% | 48% | 33% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 8% | 48% | 33% | 10% | ||
| Long Beach St. Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 8% | 47% | 34% | 10% | ||