The Most Important Games for the Hawai'i Warriors are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Warriors final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Hawai'i Warriors fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Hawai'i Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Hawai'i (16‑5) vs UC San Diego (16‑8) |
54 | Hawai'i Wins | 37% | 37% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 30% | 36% | 16% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UC San Diego Wins | 19% | 34% | 20% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Cal Poly (9‑15) vs UC Davis (14‑9) |
7 | Cal Poly Wins | 30% | 37% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 30% | 36% | 16% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UC Davis Wins | 30% | 34% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UC Riverside (8‑16) vs CSU Northridge (14‑10) |
6 | UC Riverside Wins | 30% | 36% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 30% | 36% | 16% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| CSU Northridge Wins | 30% | 35% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UC Irvine (16‑7) vs UCSB (15‑8) |
4 | UC Irvine Wins | 25% | 40% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 30% | 36% | 16% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UCSB Wins | 35% | 29% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| CSU Fullerton (11‑13) vs CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (8‑16) |
0 | CSU Fullerton Wins | 30% | 36% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 30% | 36% | 16% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Wins | 30% | 36% | 16% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||