The Most Important Games for the UC Davis Aggies are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Aggies final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UC Davis Aggies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UC Davis Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| UC Davis (15‑12) vs CSU Northridge (19‑7) |
9 | UC Davis Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 54% | 33% | 3% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 41% | 42% | 11% | 1% | ^ | ||
| CSU Northridge Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 32% | 50% | 17% | 1% | ^ | ||
| Cal Poly (10‑17) vs UC Riverside (18‑10) |
2 | Cal Poly Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 40% | 43% | 11% | 1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 41% | 42% | 11% | 1% | ^ | ||
| UC Riverside Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 41% | 41% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ||
| UC San Diego (23‑4) vs Hawai'i (14‑12) |
0 | UC San Diego Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 41% | 44% | 10% | 1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 41% | 42% | 11% | 1% | ^ | ||
| Hawai'i Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 40% | 33% | 20% | 2% | ^ | ||
| Long Beach St. (7‑20) vs UCSB (17‑10) |
0 | Long Beach St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 61% | 23% | 10% | 1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 41% | 42% | 11% | 1% | ^ | ||
| UCSB Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 34% | 49% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ||
| CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (12‑16) vs UC Irvine (22‑5) |
0 | CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 40% | 37% | 15% | 3% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 41% | 42% | 11% | 1% | ^ | ||
| UC Irvine Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 41% | 44% | 10% | <1% | ^ | ||