The Most Important Games for the UC Davis Aggies are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Aggies final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UC Davis Aggies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UC Davis Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| UC Davis (8‑5) vs CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (6‑9) |
32 | UC Davis Wins | 10% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 10% | ||
| CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Wins | 6% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 14% | ||
| Long Beach St. (4‑10) vs Cal Poly (6‑9) |
2 | Long Beach St. Wins | 9% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 10% | ||
| Cal Poly Wins | 9% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 10% | ||
| CSU Fullerton (6‑9) vs UC Irvine (10‑5) |
2 | CSU Fullerton Wins | 9% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 10% | ||
| UC Irvine Wins | 9% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 9% | ||
| UC San Diego (11‑3) vs Hawai'i (11‑2) |
1 | UC San Diego Wins | 10% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 10% | ||
| Hawai'i Wins | 8% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 10% | ||
| CSU Northridge (8‑7) vs UCSB (9‑5) |
1 | CSU Northridge Wins | 10% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 10% | ||
| UCSB Wins | 9% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 10% | ||