PlayoffStatus.com

Fri Nov 22 2:30 pm

Big West Basketball - Week 3 of 18

UC Davis Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the UC Davis Aggies are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Aggies final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UC Davis Aggies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

UC Davis Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
UC Davis Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3**
First Round Bye
4**
First Round Bye
5 6 7 8 NT
UC Davis
(3‑2)

vs
Cal Poly
(3‑3)
26 UC Davis Wins 13% 13% 12% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 10%
Current Probabilities 12% 13% 11% 11% 10% 10% 10% 9% 13%
Cal Poly Wins 8% 11% 12% 12% 11% 11% 11% 10% 15%
Long Beach St.
(1‑4)

vs
CSU Fullerton
(1‑4)
3 Long Beach St. Wins 12% 13% 12% 11% 10% 10% 10% 9% 13%
Current Probabilities 12% 13% 11% 11% 10% 10% 10% 9% 13%
CSU Fullerton Wins 12% 12% 11% 11% 10% 10% 10% 10% 14%
UC Irvine
(4‑0)

vs
CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild
(3‑2)
3 UC Irvine Wins 13% 13% 12% 11% 10% 10% 10% 9% 13%
Current Probabilities 12% 13% 11% 11% 10% 10% 10% 9% 13%
CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Wins 12% 12% 11% 11% 10% 10% 10% 9% 13%
UC Riverside
(2‑3)

vs
CSU Northridge
(3‑1)
1 UC Riverside Wins 12% 12% 12% 11% 10% 10% 10% 9% 13%
Current Probabilities 12% 13% 11% 11% 10% 10% 10% 9% 13%
CSU Northridge Wins 12% 12% 11% 12% 10% 10% 9% 9% 14%
UC San Diego
(3‑2)

vs
UCSB
(4‑1)
1 UC San Diego Wins 12% 12% 12% 11% 10% 11% 10% 9% 13%
Current Probabilities 12% 13% 11% 11% 10% 10% 10% 9% 13%
UCSB Wins 12% 12% 12% 11% 10% 10% 10% 9% 13%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament