The Most Important Games for the UC Davis Aggies are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Aggies final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UC Davis Aggies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UC Davis Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| UC Davis (16‑10) vs CSU Fullerton (13‑14) |
62 | UC Davis Wins | 7% | 13% | 19% | 22% | 22% | 15% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 9% | 14% | 18% | 21% | 20% | 11% | 2% | <1% | ||
| CSU Fullerton Wins | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 22% | 26% | 19% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Long Beach St. (8‑18) vs UC Irvine (17‑9) |
11 | Long Beach St. Wins | 5% | 10% | 15% | 18% | 20% | 19% | 11% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 9% | 14% | 18% | 21% | 20% | 11% | 2% | <1% | ||
| UC Irvine Wins | 4% | 8% | 14% | 18% | 22% | 21% | 11% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Cal Poly (11‑16) vs Hawai'i (18‑6) |
9 | Cal Poly Wins | 6% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 20% | 18% | 11% | 5% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 9% | 14% | 18% | 21% | 20% | 11% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Hawai'i Wins | 4% | 8% | 15% | 19% | 22% | 20% | 10% | 1% | <1% | ||
| UCSB (17‑9) vs CSU Northridge (16‑10) |
0 | UCSB Wins | 5% | 9% | 14% | 16% | 20% | 22% | 11% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 9% | 14% | 18% | 21% | 20% | 11% | 2% | <1% | ||
| CSU Northridge Wins | 4% | 9% | 14% | 20% | 22% | 18% | 11% | 2% | <1% | ||
| UC Riverside (8‑19) vs CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (8‑18) |
0 | UC Riverside Wins | 4% | 9% | 14% | 18% | 21% | 20% | 11% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 9% | 14% | 18% | 21% | 20% | 11% | 2% | <1% | ||
| CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Wins | 4% | 9% | 14% | 18% | 21% | 20% | 11% | 2% | <1% | ||