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Sun Nov 30 10:15 pm

Big West Basketball - Week 5 of 18

UC Davis Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the UC Davis Aggies are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Aggies final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UC Davis Aggies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

UC Davis Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
UC Davis Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3**
First Round Bye
4**
First Round Bye
5 6 7 8 NT
UC Davis
(5‑2)

vs
Hawai'i
(6‑2)
31 UC Davis Wins 16% 18% 15% 12% 10% 9% 8% 6% 7%
Current Probabilities 14% 16% 14% 12% 11% 9% 8% 7% 9%
Hawai'i Wins 10% 15% 14% 13% 11% 10% 9% 8% 11%
Long Beach St.
(2‑6)

vs
UCSB
(6‑2)
4 Long Beach St. Wins 14% 17% 13% 12% 10% 9% 8% 6% 10%
Current Probabilities 14% 16% 14% 12% 11% 9% 8% 7% 9%
UCSB Wins 14% 16% 13% 12% 11% 10% 8% 7% 9%
Cal Poly
(4‑5)

vs
CSU Fullerton
(3‑5)
1 Cal Poly Wins 14% 17% 14% 11% 11% 10% 8% 6% 9%
Current Probabilities 14% 16% 14% 12% 11% 9% 8% 7% 9%
CSU Fullerton Wins 14% 17% 14% 12% 10% 10% 8% 7% 9%
CSU Northridge
(3‑4)

vs
CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild
(4‑4)
0 CSU Northridge Wins 14% 16% 14% 12% 11% 10% 8% 7% 9%
Current Probabilities 14% 16% 14% 12% 11% 9% 8% 7% 9%
CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Wins 14% 16% 14% 12% 11% 9% 9% 7% 9%
UC Riverside
(4‑4)

vs
UC Irvine
(5‑4)
0 UC Riverside Wins 14% 16% 14% 12% 10% 10% 8% 7% 9%
Current Probabilities 14% 16% 14% 12% 11% 9% 8% 7% 9%
UC Irvine Wins 14% 16% 14% 12% 11% 9% 8% 6% 9%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament