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Fri Feb 21 11:45 am

Big West Basketball - Week 16 of 18

UC Riverside Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the UC Riverside Highlanders are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Highlanders final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UC Riverside Highlanders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

UC Riverside Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
UC Riverside Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3**
First Round Bye
4**
First Round Bye
5 6 7 8 NT
CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild
(12‑16)

vs
UC Irvine
(22‑5)
21 CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Wins <1% 14% 45% 38% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities <1% 5% 53% 39% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^
UC Irvine Wins <1% 4% 55% 40% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^
UC Riverside
(18‑10)

vs
Cal Poly
(10‑17)
16 UC Riverside Wins <1% 7% 59% 33% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities <1% 5% 53% 39% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^
Cal Poly Wins <1% 1% 45% 50% 4% <1% <1% ^ ^
Hawai'i
(14‑12)

vs
UC San Diego
(23‑4)
4 Hawai'i Wins 1% 6% 52% 39% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities <1% 5% 53% 39% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^
UC San Diego Wins <1% 5% 54% 39% 2% <1% ^ ^ ^
Long Beach St.
(7‑20)

vs
UCSB
(17‑10)
2 Long Beach St. Wins <1% 6% 54% 40% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities <1% 5% 53% 39% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^
UCSB Wins <1% 5% 53% 39% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^
CSU Northridge
(19‑7)

vs
UC Davis
(15‑12)
1 CSU Northridge Wins <1% 5% 46% 47% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities <1% 5% 53% 39% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^
UC Davis Wins <1% 6% 65% 27% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament