The Most Important Games for Borussia Dortmund are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Borussia Dortmund fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Borussia Dortmund Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
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| Borussia Dortmund (13‑11‑6) vs TSG Hoffenheim (7‑14‑9) |
52 | Borussia Dortmund Wins | X | X | 2% | 22% | 24% | 20% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 13% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| TSG Hoffenheim Wins | X | X | <1% | 3% | 8% | 14% | 18% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bayern Munich (22‑2‑6) vs Mainz (13‑9‑8) |
14 | Bayern Munich Wins | X | X | 1% | 15% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 13% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Mainz Wins | X | X | 1% | 9% | 14% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt (15‑8‑7) vs RB Leipzig (13‑7‑10) |
13 | Eintracht Frankfurt Wins | X | X | <1% | 16% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 13% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| RB Leipzig Wins | X | X | 2% | 8% | 17% | 18% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| VfL Wolfsburg (10‑11‑9) vs SC Freiburg (14‑10‑6) |
12 | VfL Wolfsburg Wins | X | X | 1% | 15% | 18% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 13% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| SC Freiburg Wins | X | X | 1% | 10% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| St. Pauli (8‑16‑6) vs Werder Bremen (13‑11‑6) |
5 | St. Pauli Wins | X | X | 1% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 13% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Werder Bremen Wins | X | X | 1% | 13% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| FC Heidenheim (6‑20‑4) vs VfB Stuttgart (11‑11‑8) |
2 | FC Heidenheim Wins | X | X | 1% | 14% | 18% | 18% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 13% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| VfB Stuttgart Wins | X | X | 1% | 13% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Holstein Kiel (4‑19‑7) vs Borussia (13‑12‑5) |
2 | Holstein Kiel Wins | X | X | 1% | 14% | 18% | 19% | 17% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 13% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Borussia Wins | X | X | 1% | 13% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen (18‑2‑10) vs FC Augsburg (11‑9‑10) |
2 | Bayer Leverkusen Wins | X | X | 1% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 13% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| FC Augsburg Wins | X | X | 1% | 13% | 16% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| FC Union Berlin (9‑12‑9) vs VfL Bochum (4‑20‑6) |
0 | FC Union Berlin Wins | X | X | 1% | 14% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 13% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| VfL Bochum Wins | X | X | 1% | 13% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||