The Most Important Games for Borussia Dortmund are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Borussia Dortmund fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Borussia Dortmund Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
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| Borussia Dortmund (15‑11‑6) vs Bayer Leverkusen (19‑2‑11) |
90 | Borussia Dortmund Wins | X | X | 4% | 70% | 23% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 37% | 38% | 17% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen Wins | X | X | X | 21% | 46% | 23% | 8% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Holstein Kiel (6‑19‑7) vs SC Freiburg (15‑10‑7) |
58 | Holstein Kiel Wins | X | X | 2% | 55% | 26% | 12% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 37% | 38% | 17% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| SC Freiburg Wins | X | X | <1% | 20% | 52% | 22% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Werder Bremen (13‑11‑8) vs RB Leipzig (13‑8‑11) |
25 | Werder Bremen Wins | X | X | 1% | 42% | 41% | 9% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 37% | 38% | 17% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| RB Leipzig Wins | X | X | 1% | 29% | 34% | 30% | 6% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| St. Pauli (8‑17‑7) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (16‑8‑8) |
5 | St. Pauli Wins | X | X | 5% | 35% | 36% | 17% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 37% | 38% | 17% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt Wins | X | X | X | 37% | 40% | 18% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| VfL Bochum (5‑20‑7) vs Mainz (13‑10‑9) |
2 | VfL Bochum Wins | X | X | 1% | 37% | 41% | 20% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 37% | 38% | 17% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Mainz Wins | X | X | 1% | 37% | 38% | 16% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Borussia (13‑13‑6) vs Bayern Munich (23‑2‑7) |
1 | Borussia Wins | X | X | 1% | 37% | 39% | 17% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 37% | 38% | 17% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bayern Munich Wins | X | X | 1% | 37% | 39% | 18% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| VfL Wolfsburg (10‑13‑9) vs TSG Hoffenheim (7‑15‑10) |
0 | VfL Wolfsburg Wins | X | X | 1% | 37% | 38% | 17% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 37% | 38% | 17% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| TSG Hoffenheim Wins | X | X | 1% | 37% | 38% | 17% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| FC Union Berlin (9‑13‑10) vs FC Heidenheim (7‑20‑5) |
0 | FC Union Berlin Wins | X | X | 1% | 37% | 38% | 17% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 37% | 38% | 17% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| FC Heidenheim Wins | X | X | 1% | 37% | 38% | 17% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| VfB Stuttgart (12‑12‑8) vs FC Augsburg (11‑11‑10) |
0 | VfB Stuttgart Wins | X | X | 1% | 37% | 38% | 17% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 37% | 38% | 17% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| FC Augsburg Wins | X | X | 1% | 37% | 38% | 17% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||