The Most Important Games for FC Cologne are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. FC Cologne fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
FC Cologne Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
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| FC Cologne (6‑10‑5) vs VfB Stuttgart (12‑6‑3) |
3 | FC Cologne Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| VfB Stuttgart Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||
| RB Leipzig (12‑6‑3) vs VfL Wolfsburg (5‑12‑4) |
1 | RB Leipzig Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| VfL Wolfsburg Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen (11‑6‑3) vs St. Pauli (4‑12‑5) |
1 | Bayer Leverkusen Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| St. Pauli Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Bayern Munich (17‑1‑3) vs Werder Bremen (4‑10‑7) |
0 | Bayern Munich Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Werder Bremen Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| TSG Hoffenheim (13‑5‑3) vs SC Freiburg (8‑7‑6) |
0 | TSG Hoffenheim Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| SC Freiburg Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Borussia Dortmund (14‑1‑6) vs Mainz (5‑10‑6) |
0 | Borussia Dortmund Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Mainz Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||
| FC Union Berlin (6‑8‑7) vs Hamburg SV (5‑8‑7) |
0 | FC Union Berlin Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Hamburg SV Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt (7‑7‑7) vs Borussia (5‑9‑7) |
0 | Eintracht Frankfurt Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 10% | 15% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Borussia Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| FC Heidenheim (3‑14‑4) vs FC Augsburg (6‑11‑4) |
0 | FC Heidenheim Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| FC Augsburg Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||