The Most Important Games for FC Union Berlin are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. FC Union Berlin fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
FC Union Berlin Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
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| FC Union Berlin (4‑7‑5) vs FC Augsburg (4‑8‑4) |
4 | FC Union Berlin Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 15% | 28% | 20% | 11% | 5% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| FC Augsburg Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 24% | 22% | 16% | 11% | 6% | 2% | ||
| FC Union Berlin (4‑7‑5) vs Mainz (8‑4‑4) |
3 | FC Union Berlin Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 17% | 27% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Mainz Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 13% | 26% | 22% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Bayern Munich (12‑1‑3) vs TSG Hoffenheim (3‑8‑5) |
1 | Bayern Munich Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| TSG Hoffenheim Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 24% | 20% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Borussia Dortmund (7‑5‑4) vs Holstein Kiel (2‑12‑2) |
0 | Borussia Dortmund Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 14% | 26% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Holstein Kiel Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 25% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Werder Bremen (7‑5‑4) vs FC Augsburg (4‑8‑4) |
0 | Werder Bremen Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 28% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| FC Augsburg Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 14% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 1% | ||
| St. Pauli (4‑10‑2) vs FC Heidenheim (4‑11‑1) |
0 | St. Pauli Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 25% | 21% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| FC Heidenheim Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 15% | 27% | 19% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Werder Bremen (7‑5‑4) vs FC Heidenheim (4‑11‑1) |
0 | Werder Bremen Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 14% | 27% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| FC Heidenheim Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 14% | 24% | 20% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen (10‑1‑5) vs Borussia (7‑6‑3) |
0 | Bayer Leverkusen Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Borussia Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 13% | 27% | 20% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt (9‑4‑3) vs SC Freiburg (8‑5‑3) |
0 | Eintracht Frankfurt Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 25% | 20% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| SC Freiburg Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 13% | 27% | 21% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Holstein Kiel (2‑12‑2) vs TSG Hoffenheim (3‑8‑5) |
0 | Holstein Kiel Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 14% | 27% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| TSG Hoffenheim Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 13% | 8% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen (10‑1‑5) vs Mainz (8‑4‑4) |
0 | Bayer Leverkusen Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 14% | 26% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Mainz Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| VfL Wolfsburg (7‑6‑3) vs Borussia (7‑6‑3) |
0 | VfL Wolfsburg Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Borussia Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 27% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| RB Leipzig (9‑4‑3) vs VfL Bochum (1‑12‑3) |
0 | RB Leipzig Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| VfL Bochum Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| VfL Bochum (1‑12‑3) vs St. Pauli (4‑10‑2) |
0 | VfL Bochum Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 28% | 19% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| St. Pauli Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 14% | 25% | 21% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| RB Leipzig (9‑4‑3) vs VfB Stuttgart (7‑4‑5) |
0 | RB Leipzig Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| VfB Stuttgart Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Bayern Munich (12‑1‑3) vs VfL Wolfsburg (7‑6‑3) |
0 | Bayern Munich Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| VfL Wolfsburg Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 14% | 27% | 20% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Borussia Dortmund (7‑5‑4) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (9‑4‑3) |
0 | Borussia Dortmund Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| SC Freiburg (8‑5‑3) vs VfB Stuttgart (7‑4‑5) |
0 | SC Freiburg Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 13% | 27% | 20% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| VfB Stuttgart Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||