The Most Important Games for Holstein Kiel are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Holstein Kiel fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Holstein Kiel Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
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| Holstein Kiel (4‑16‑5) vs FC Heidenheim (4‑17‑4) |
24 | Holstein Kiel Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 16% | 36% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 26% | 58% | ||
| FC Heidenheim Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 20% | 71% | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt (12‑7‑6) vs VfL Bochum (4‑15‑6) |
6 | Eintracht Frankfurt Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 29% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 26% | 58% | ||
| VfL Bochum Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 20% | 66% | ||
| TSG Hoffenheim (6‑11‑8) vs St. Pauli (6‑15‑4) |
2 | TSG Hoffenheim Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 26% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 26% | 58% | ||
| St. Pauli Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 27% | 58% | ||
| Werder Bremen (9‑10‑6) vs Borussia (11‑10‑4) |
1 | Werder Bremen Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 26% | 58% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 26% | 58% | ||
| Borussia Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 26% | 58% | ||
| Bayern Munich (19‑2‑4) vs FC Union Berlin (7‑12‑6) |
0 | Bayern Munich Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 27% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 26% | 58% | ||
| FC Union Berlin Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 27% | 58% | ||
| SC Freiburg (12‑8‑5) vs Mainz (13‑7‑5) |
0 | SC Freiburg Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 27% | 58% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 26% | 58% | ||
| Mainz Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 26% | 58% | ||
| Borussia Dortmund (10‑10‑5) vs RB Leipzig (10‑6‑9) |
0 | Borussia Dortmund Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 26% | 58% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 26% | 58% | ||
| RB Leipzig Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 26% | 58% | ||
| VfB Stuttgart (10‑8‑7) vs Bayer Leverkusen (15‑2‑8) |
0 | VfB Stuttgart Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 27% | 58% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 26% | 58% | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 26% | 58% | ||
| VfL Wolfsburg (10‑7‑8) vs FC Augsburg (9‑8‑8) |
0 | VfL Wolfsburg Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 26% | 58% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 26% | 58% | ||
| FC Augsburg Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 27% | 58% | ||