PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Jan 23 3:15 pm

Bundesliga - Week 25 of 40

VfL Wolfsburg What If?

The VfL Wolfsburg What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

VfL Wolfsburg What If?

Next Game - Greuther Fürth (2‑14‑4)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1* 2** 3** 4** 5*** 6# 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16##
Win Next Game 7 11 3 24 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 8% 12% 16% 20% 21% 15%
Current Standings 6 11 3 21 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 7% 11% 15% 19% 22% 20%
Lose Next Game 6 12 3 21 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 7% 11% 17% 26% 32%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1* 2** 3** 4** 5*** 6# 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16##
Best Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 8% 13% 17% 21% 21% 14%
Current Standings <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 7% 11% 15% 19% 22% 20%
Worst Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 10% 16% 24% 37%
Best Case Scenario
   Eintracht Frankfurt beats VfB Stuttgart
   VfL Wolfsburg beats Greuther Fürth
Worst Case Scenario
   VfB Stuttgart beats Eintracht Frankfurt
   Greuther Fürth beats VfL Wolfsburg
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1* 2** 3** 4** 5*** 6# 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16##
14 of 14 100% 20 11 3 63 <1% 6% 56% 34% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
13 of 14 93% 19 12 3 60 <1% 1% 21% 44% 28% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
12 of 14 86% 18 13 3 57 <1% <1% 2% 18% 38% 30% 10% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
11 of 14 79% 17 14 3 54 <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 31% 37% 17% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
10 of 14 71% 16 15 3 51 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 23% 40% 25% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
9 of 14 64% 15 16 3 48 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 16% 39% 33% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
8 of 14 57% 14 17 3 45 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 12% 37% 38% 11% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
7 of 14 50% 13 18 3 42 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 10% 36% 38% 14% 2% <1% <1% <1%
6 of 14 43% 12 19 3 39 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 8% 31% 39% 19% 3% <1% <1%
5 of 14 36% 11 20 3 36 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 24% 41% 25% 5% <1%
4 of 14 29% 10 21 3 33 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 18% 42% 32% 6%
3 of 14 21% 9 22 3 30 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 16% 49% 34%
2 of 14 14% 8 23 3 27 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 26% 73%
1 of 14 7% 7 24 3 24 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 5% 95%
0 of 14 0% 6 25 3 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Bundesliga Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #   denotes advancement to UEFA Europa Conference League Qualifing
  • ##  denotes Relegation Playoff