The Most Important Games for the Minnesota State Mavericks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mavericks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Minnesota State Mavericks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Minnesota State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Home Field Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Minnesota State (13‑8‑5) vs Ferris State (4‑22) 2 Games Remaining |
27 | Minnesota State Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 20% | 33% | 26% | 14% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 15% | 28% | 28% | 21% | 7% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Ferris State Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 11% | 30% | 41% | 16% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Lake Superior (9‑16‑1) vs Augustana (16‑7‑3) 2 Games Remaining |
8 | Lake Superior Sweeps 2 Games | 3% | 21% | 32% | 25% | 13% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 15% | 28% | 28% | 21% | 7% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Augustana Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 13% | 27% | 28% | 23% | 8% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| St. Thomas (16‑7‑3) vs Michigan Tech (17‑9‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
3 | St. Thomas Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 17% | 29% | 26% | 19% | 7% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 15% | 28% | 28% | 21% | 7% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Michigan Tech Sweeps 2 Games | 3% | 11% | 26% | 30% | 22% | 8% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Northern Michigan (2‑24) vs Bemidji State (9‑14‑3) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Northern Michigan Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 15% | 27% | 30% | 23% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 15% | 28% | 28% | 21% | 7% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Bemidji State Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 14% | 27% | 27% | 20% | 9% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Minnesota State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Home Field Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Minnesota State (13‑8‑5) vs Ferris State (4‑22) |
14 | Minnesota State Wins | 2% | 17% | 30% | 28% | 17% | 6% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 15% | 28% | 28% | 21% | 7% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Ferris State Wins | <1% | 5% | 21% | 32% | 31% | 11% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Lake Superior (9‑16‑1) vs Augustana (16‑7‑3) |
4 | Lake Superior Wins | 3% | 19% | 29% | 26% | 16% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 15% | 28% | 28% | 21% | 7% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Augustana Wins | 2% | 14% | 27% | 28% | 21% | 8% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| St. Thomas (16‑7‑3) vs Michigan Tech (17‑9‑2) |
2 | St. Thomas Wins | 2% | 16% | 28% | 28% | 20% | 7% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 15% | 28% | 28% | 21% | 7% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Michigan Tech Wins | 2% | 12% | 26% | 29% | 22% | 8% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Northern Michigan (2‑24) vs Bemidji State (9‑14‑3) |
2 | Northern Michigan Wins | 2% | 15% | 28% | 29% | 20% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 15% | 28% | 28% | 21% | 7% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Bemidji State Wins | 2% | 15% | 27% | 28% | 20% | 9% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||