The Most Important Games for the Minnesota State Mavericks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mavericks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Minnesota State Mavericks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Minnesota State Resultant Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Home Field Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Minnesota State (15‑5‑2) vs Michigan Tech (12‑8‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
17 | Minnesota State Sweeps 2 Games | 86% | 11% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 71% | 17% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan Tech Sweeps 2 Games | 37% | 32% | 21% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ferris State (6‑14‑2) vs Bowling Green (11‑7‑3) 2 Games Remaining |
3 | Ferris State Sweeps 2 Games | 77% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 71% | 17% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bowling Green Sweeps 2 Games | 68% | 18% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Northern Michigan (2‑19‑1) vs Bemidji State (8‑10‑4) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Northern Michigan Sweeps 2 Games | 72% | 17% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 71% | 17% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bemidji State Sweeps 2 Games | 71% | 17% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| St. Thomas (9‑10‑4) vs Lake Superior (9‑12‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | St. Thomas Sweeps 2 Games | 71% | 17% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 71% | 17% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Lake Superior Sweeps 2 Games | 71% | 17% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Minnesota State Resultant Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Home Field Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Minnesota State (15‑5‑2) vs Michigan Tech (12‑8‑2) |
7 | Minnesota State Wins | 79% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 71% | 17% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan Tech Wins | 57% | 24% | 12% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ferris State (6‑14‑2) vs Bowling Green (11‑7‑3) |
1 | Ferris State Wins | 75% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 71% | 17% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bowling Green Wins | 70% | 18% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Northern Michigan (2‑19‑1) vs Bemidji State (8‑10‑4) |
1 | Northern Michigan Wins | 73% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 71% | 17% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bemidji State Wins | 72% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| St. Thomas (9‑10‑4) vs Lake Superior (9‑12‑1) |
0 | St. Thomas Wins | 72% | 17% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 71% | 17% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Lake Superior Wins | 72% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||