The Most Important Games for the Minnesota State Mavericks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mavericks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Minnesota State Mavericks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Minnesota State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Home Field Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Northern Michigan (1‑17) vs St. Thomas (7‑7‑3) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Northern Michigan Sweeps 2 Games | 53% | 22% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 50% | 22% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| St. Thomas Sweeps 2 Games | 50% | 23% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ferris State (4‑12) vs Michigan Tech (8‑6‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Ferris State Sweeps 2 Games | 52% | 23% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 50% | 22% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan Tech Sweeps 2 Games | 49% | 23% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bemidji State (9‑8‑2) vs Augustana (8‑5‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Bemidji State Sweeps 1 Game | 51% | 22% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 50% | 22% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Augustana Sweeps 1 Game | 51% | 21% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Minnesota State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Home Field Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Northern Michigan (1‑17) vs St. Thomas (7‑7‑3) |
1 | Northern Michigan Wins | 52% | 22% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 50% | 22% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| St. Thomas Wins | 50% | 22% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ferris State (4‑12) vs Michigan Tech (8‑6‑2) |
1 | Ferris State Wins | 51% | 23% | 14% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 50% | 22% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan Tech Wins | 51% | 23% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bemidji State (9‑8‑2) vs Augustana (8‑5‑1) |
0 | Bemidji State Wins | 51% | 22% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 50% | 22% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Augustana Wins | 51% | 21% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||