The Most Important Games for the Middle Tenn. St. Blue Raiders are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Blue Raiders final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Middle Tenn. St. Blue Raiders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Middle Tenn. St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Middle Tenn. St. (1‑6) vs Jacksonville St.Jacksnvlle St. (4‑3) |
0 | Middle Tenn. St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 19% | 24% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | ^ | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 29% | ||
| Jacksonville St.Jacksnvlle St. Wins | 34% | ^ | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 17% | ||
| New Mexico St. (3‑4) vs W. Kentucky (6‑2) |
0 | New Mexico St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 18% | 28% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | ^ | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 29% | ||
| W. Kentucky Wins | 34% | ^ | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 17% | ||
| Missouri St. (4‑3) vs Florida Intl. (3‑4) |
0 | Missouri St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 18% | 27% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | ^ | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 29% | ||
| Florida Intl. Wins | 34% | ^ | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 17% | ||
| Sam Houston (0‑7) vs Louisiana Tech (4‑3) |
0 | Sam Houston Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 26% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | ^ | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 29% | ||
| Louisiana Tech Wins | 34% | ^ | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 18% | ||
| Delaware (4‑3) vs Liberty (3‑4) |
0 | Delaware Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 28% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | ^ | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 29% | ||
| Liberty Wins | 34% | ^ | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 19% | ||
| UTEP (2‑5) vs Kennesaw St. (5‑2) |
0 | UTEP Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 16% | 33% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | ^ | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 29% | ||
| Kennesaw St. Wins | 34% | ^ | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 17% | ||