The Sam Houston Bearkats What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Sam Houston plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 1 | 4 | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 23% | 53% |
| Current Standings | 0 | 4 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 19% | 70% |
| Lose Next Game | 0 | 5 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 19% | 72% |
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |
| Current Standings | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 19% | 70% |
|
Best Case Scenario None |
Worst Case Scenario None |
|||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | ||
| 4 of 4 | 100% | 4 | 4 | X | <1% | 10% | 26% | 33% | 23% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 3 of 4 | 75% | 3 | 5 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 17% | 29% | 33% | 14% | 1% |
| 2 of 4 | 50% | 2 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 12% | 40% | 46% |
| 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 9% | 91% |
| 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 8 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |