The Most Important Games for the Fort Wayne Mastodons are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mastodons final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Fort Wayne Mastodons fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Fort Wayne Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage |
5* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10*** First Round Home Court Advantage |
11 | |||
| Fort Wayne (15‑13) vs Cleveland St. (10‑18) |
71 | Fort Wayne Wins | <1% | 1% | 12% | 27% | 33% | 19% | 7% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 8% | 19% | 30% | 23% | 15% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Cleveland St. Wins | X | X | <1% | 7% | 27% | 30% | 26% | 8% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Youngstown St. (14‑14) vs Northern Kentucky (17‑11) |
13 | Youngstown St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 8% | 21% | 37% | 18% | 10% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 8% | 19% | 30% | 23% | 15% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Northern Kentucky Wins | <1% | <1% | 8% | 18% | 26% | 26% | 18% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Wis. Milwaukee (11‑17) vs Detroit (12‑13) |
13 | Wis. Milwaukee Wins | <1% | <1% | 9% | 22% | 33% | 24% | 9% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 8% | 19% | 30% | 23% | 15% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Detroit Wins | <1% | <1% | 8% | 18% | 29% | 22% | 18% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Oakland (14‑13) vs Green Bay (15‑13) |
7 | Oakland Wins | <1% | <1% | 10% | 19% | 29% | 22% | 15% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 8% | 19% | 30% | 23% | 15% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Green Bay Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 19% | 33% | 24% | 14% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| IU Indy (7‑21) vs Wright St. (17‑10) |
1 | IU Indy Wins | <1% | 1% | 8% | 18% | 32% | 22% | 15% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 8% | 19% | 30% | 23% | 15% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Wright St. Wins | X | <1% | 9% | 19% | 30% | 23% | 15% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||