PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Sep 28 7:15 pm

Ligue 1 - Week 8 of 40

Brest What If?

The Brest What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Brest What If?

Next Game - Nantes (1‑3‑2)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
Win Next Game 3 3 1 10 1% 2% 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% 9% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 5%
Current Standings 2 3 1 7 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 8% 8% 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 7%
Lose Next Game 2 4 1 7 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% 8% 8% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 8%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
Best Case Scenario 1% 2% 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% 9% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 5%
Current Standings 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 8% 8% 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 7%
Worst Case Scenario 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% 8% 8% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 8%
Best Case Scenario
   Brest beats Nantes
Worst Case Scenario
   Nantes beats Brest
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
28 of 28 100% 30 3 1 91 99% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 28 93% 28 5 1 85 88% 12% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 28 89% 27 6 1 82 72% 26% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 28 86% 26 7 1 79 49% 41% 9% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 28 82% 25 8 1 76 28% 47% 22% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 28 79% 24 9 1 73 12% 38% 36% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 28 75% 23 10 1 70 4% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 28 71% 22 11 1 67 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
19 of 28 68% 21 12 1 64 <1% 2% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
18 of 28 64% 20 13 1 61 <1% <1% 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
17 of 28 61% 19 14 1 58 <1% <1% 1% 6% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
16 of 28 57% 18 15 1 55 <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
15 of 28 54% 17 16 1 52 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 27% 36% 20% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 28 50% 16 17 1 49 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 30% 34% 18% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 28 46% 15 18 1 46 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
12 of 28 43% 14 19 1 43 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 31% 33% 16% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1%
11 of 28 39% 13 20 1 40 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 30% 33% 16% 4% <1% <1% <1%
10 of 28 36% 12 21 1 37 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% <1% <1%
9 of 28 32% 11 22 1 34 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% <1%
8 of 28 29% 10 23 1 31 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
7 of 28 25% 9 24 1 28 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 34% 36% 16%
6 of 28 21% 8 25 1 25 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 16% 40% 42%
5 of 28 18% 7 26 1 22 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 24% 72%
4 of 28 14% 6 27 1 19 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 8% 92%
0 of 28 0% 2 31 1 7 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Ligue 1 Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • #   denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • ##  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round
  • ###  denotes Relegation Playoff