The Lens What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||
| Win Next Game | 18 | 4 | 1 | 55 | 38% | 57% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 17 | 4 | 1 | 52 | 34% | 59% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 17 | 5 | 1 | 52 | 21% | 65% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||
| Best Case Scenario | 35% | 59% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 34% | 59% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | 34% | 58% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario Le Havre beats Toulouse Metz beats Auxerre Nice beats Lyon |
Worst Case Scenario Toulouse beats Le Havre Auxerre beats Metz Lyon beats Nice |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
|||
| 12 of 12 | 100% | 29 | 4 | 1 | 88 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 12 | 92% | 28 | 5 | 1 | 85 | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 10 of 12 | 83% | 27 | 6 | 1 | 82 | 80% | 20% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 9 of 12 | 75% | 26 | 7 | 1 | 79 | 50% | 50% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 8 of 12 | 67% | 25 | 8 | 1 | 76 | 23% | 76% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 12 | 58% | 24 | 9 | 1 | 73 | 7% | 86% | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 12 | 50% | 23 | 10 | 1 | 70 | 1% | 72% | 25% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 12 | 42% | 22 | 11 | 1 | 67 | <1% | 42% | 48% | 10% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 12 | 33% | 21 | 12 | 1 | 64 | <1% | 16% | 50% | 33% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 12 | 25% | 20 | 13 | 1 | 61 | <1% | 3% | 29% | 56% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 12 | 17% | 19 | 14 | 1 | 58 | <1% | <1% | 6% | 46% | 38% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 12 | 8% | 18 | 15 | 1 | 55 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 12% | 37% | 36% | 12% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 12 | 0% | 17 | 16 | 1 | 52 | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 29% | 38% | 20% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |