The Lille What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||
| Win Next Game | 15 | 7 | 8 | 53 | X | 6% | 15% | 22% | 31% | 18% | 8% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 14 | 7 | 8 | 50 | X | 4% | 11% | 19% | 29% | 22% | 13% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 14 | 8 | 8 | 50 | X | <1% | 4% | 11% | 26% | 29% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||
| Best Case Scenario | X | 11% | 25% | 23% | 20% | 14% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | X | 4% | 11% | 19% | 29% | 22% | 13% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | <1% | 3% | 9% | 26% | 31% | 26% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario Montpellier beats Marseille Lille beats Auxerre Saint-Etienne beats Lyon |
Worst Case Scenario Marseille beats Montpellier Auxerre beats Lille Lyon beats Saint-Etienne |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
|||
| 5 of 5 | 100% | 19 | 7 | 8 | 65 | X | 49% | 46% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 5 | 80% | 18 | 8 | 8 | 62 | X | 5% | 32% | 44% | 19% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 5 | 60% | 17 | 9 | 8 | 59 | X | <1% | 2% | 18% | 54% | 23% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 5 | 40% | 16 | 10 | 8 | 56 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 17% | 47% | 35% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 5 | 20% | 15 | 11 | 8 | 53 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 61% | 27% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 5 | 0% | 14 | 12 | 8 | 50 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 13% | 74% | 13% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |