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Mon Sep 14 4:15 am

Ligue 1 - Week 5 of 41

Lorient What If?

The Lorient What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Lorient What If?

Next Game - Le Mans (0‑1‑3)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
Win Next Game 2 1 2 8 <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 3% 4% 5% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 11% 11% 12%
Current Standings 1 1 2 5 <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 10% 11% 12% 12% 17%
Lose Next Game 1 2 2 5 <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% 10% 11% 12% 12% 18%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
30 of 30 100% 31 1 2 95 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 30 90% 28 4 2 86 89% 11% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 30 87% 27 5 2 83 76% 23% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 30 83% 26 6 2 80 56% 38% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 30 80% 25 7 2 77 35% 46% 17% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 30 77% 24 8 2 74 18% 43% 31% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 30 73% 23 9 2 71 7% 30% 39% 20% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 30 70% 22 10 2 68 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 30 67% 21 11 2 65 <1% 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
19 of 30 63% 20 12 2 62 <1% 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
18 of 30 60% 19 13 2 59 <1% <1% 2% 10% 26% 34% 21% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
17 of 30 57% 18 14 2 56 <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 28% 34% 19% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
16 of 30 53% 17 15 2 53 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
15 of 30 50% 16 16 2 50 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 13% 30% 32% 17% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 30 47% 15 17 2 47 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 30 43% 14 18 2 44 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 14% 31% 32% 15% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
12 of 30 40% 13 19 2 41 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 15% 33% 31% 14% 3% <1% <1% <1%
11 of 30 37% 12 20 2 38 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% <1% <1%
10 of 30 33% 11 21 2 35 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 2% <1%
9 of 30 30% 10 22 2 32 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 21% 37% 28% 8% 1%
8 of 30 27% 9 23 2 29 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 25% 39% 24% 5%
7 of 30 23% 8 24 2 26 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 32% 40% 18%
6 of 30 20% 7 25 2 23 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 14% 41% 43%
5 of 30 17% 6 26 2 20 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 26% 71%
4 of 30 13% 5 27 2 17 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 10% 90%
0 of 30 0% 1 31 2 5 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Ligue 1 Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • #   denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • ##  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round
  • ###  denotes Relegation Playoff