The Lyon What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||
| Win Next Game | 8 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 3% | 12% | 18% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 2% | 8% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 1% | 7% | 14% | 18% | 18% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||
| Best Case Scenario | 3% | 13% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 2% | 8% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 1% | 7% | 13% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Auxerre beats Lens Montpellier beats Nice Lyon beats Paris SG |
Worst Case Scenario Lens beats Auxerre Nice beats Montpellier Paris SG beats Lyon |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
|||
| 20 of 20 | 100% | 27 | 3 | 4 | 85 | 94% | 6% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 19 of 20 | 95% | 26 | 4 | 4 | 82 | 79% | 21% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 18 of 20 | 90% | 25 | 5 | 4 | 79 | 56% | 42% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 17 of 20 | 85% | 24 | 6 | 4 | 76 | 31% | 58% | 11% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 16 of 20 | 80% | 23 | 7 | 4 | 73 | 12% | 56% | 29% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 20 | 75% | 22 | 8 | 4 | 70 | 3% | 37% | 45% | 14% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 20 | 70% | 21 | 9 | 4 | 67 | <1% | 14% | 44% | 33% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 20 | 65% | 20 | 10 | 4 | 64 | <1% | 3% | 23% | 43% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 12 of 20 | 60% | 19 | 11 | 4 | 61 | <1% | <1% | 7% | 29% | 40% | 20% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 20 | 55% | 18 | 12 | 4 | 58 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 32% | 39% | 17% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 10 of 20 | 50% | 17 | 13 | 4 | 55 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 34% | 38% | 14% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 9 of 20 | 45% | 16 | 14 | 4 | 52 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 35% | 36% | 14% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 8 of 20 | 40% | 15 | 15 | 4 | 49 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 33% | 36% | 15% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 7 of 20 | 35% | 14 | 16 | 4 | 46 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 31% | 36% | 17% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 6 of 20 | 30% | 13 | 17 | 4 | 43 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 29% | 36% | 20% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 5 of 20 | 25% | 12 | 18 | 4 | 40 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 26% | 37% | 23% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 4 of 20 | 20% | 11 | 19 | 4 | 37 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 23% | 39% | 26% | 6% | <1% | <1% |
| 3 of 20 | 15% | 10 | 20 | 4 | 34 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 23% | 42% | 27% | 4% | <1% |
| 2 of 20 | 10% | 9 | 21 | 4 | 31 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 24% | 47% | 21% | 3% |
| 1 of 20 | 5% | 8 | 22 | 4 | 28 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 32% | 45% | 18% |
| 0 of 20 | 0% | 7 | 23 | 4 | 25 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 38% | 53% |