The Most Important Games for Marseille are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Marseille fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Marseille Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
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| Strasbourg (5‑2) vs Paris SG (5‑1‑1) |
3 | Strasbourg Wins | 41% | 22% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 38% | 25% | 14% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Paris SG Wins | 38% | 25% | 15% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nantes (1‑3‑3) vs Lille (3‑2‑2) |
3 | Nantes Wins | 39% | 24% | 14% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 38% | 25% | 14% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Lille Wins | 38% | 25% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Paris FC (3‑3‑1) vs Lens (4‑2‑1) |
2 | Paris FC Wins | 39% | 25% | 14% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 38% | 25% | 14% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Lens Wins | 39% | 24% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Lorient (2‑3‑1) vs Brest (2‑3‑2) |
1 | Lorient Wins | 39% | 25% | 14% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 38% | 25% | 14% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Brest Wins | 38% | 24% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Auxerre (2‑5) vs Stade Rennais (2‑1‑4) |
1 | Auxerre Wins | 38% | 24% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 38% | 25% | 14% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Stade Rennais Wins | 38% | 25% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Metz (0‑5‑2) vs Toulouse (3‑3‑1) |
0 | Metz Wins | 39% | 25% | 14% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 38% | 25% | 14% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Toulouse Wins | 39% | 24% | 14% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||