The Nice What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||
| Win Next Game | 7 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 1% | 9% | 16% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 1% | 9% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 6 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 1% | 5% | 11% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||
| Best Case Scenario | 1% | 10% | 17% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 1% | 9% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 1% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Auxerre beats Lens Nice beats Montpellier Paris SG beats Lyon |
Worst Case Scenario Lens beats Auxerre Montpellier beats Nice Lyon beats Paris SG |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
|||
| 20 of 20 | 100% | 26 | 3 | 5 | 83 | 76% | 24% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 19 of 20 | 95% | 25 | 4 | 5 | 80 | 55% | 43% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 18 of 20 | 90% | 24 | 5 | 5 | 77 | 33% | 59% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 17 of 20 | 85% | 23 | 6 | 5 | 74 | 14% | 60% | 24% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 16 of 20 | 80% | 22 | 7 | 5 | 71 | 5% | 43% | 43% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 20 | 75% | 21 | 8 | 5 | 68 | 1% | 21% | 48% | 26% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 20 | 70% | 20 | 9 | 5 | 65 | <1% | 6% | 32% | 42% | 17% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 20 | 65% | 19 | 10 | 5 | 62 | <1% | 1% | 12% | 37% | 36% | 13% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 12 of 20 | 60% | 18 | 11 | 5 | 59 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 38% | 32% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 20 | 55% | 17 | 12 | 5 | 56 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 18% | 39% | 30% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 10 of 20 | 50% | 16 | 13 | 5 | 53 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 20% | 41% | 28% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 9 of 20 | 45% | 15 | 14 | 5 | 50 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 21% | 38% | 28% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 8 of 20 | 40% | 14 | 15 | 5 | 47 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 19% | 37% | 29% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 7 of 20 | 35% | 13 | 16 | 5 | 44 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 35% | 32% | 12% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 6 of 20 | 30% | 12 | 17 | 5 | 41 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 14% | 33% | 34% | 14% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 5 of 20 | 25% | 11 | 18 | 5 | 38 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 31% | 37% | 17% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| 4 of 20 | 20% | 10 | 19 | 5 | 35 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 31% | 40% | 17% | 2% | <1% |
| 3 of 20 | 15% | 9 | 20 | 5 | 32 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 34% | 43% | 13% | 1% |
| 2 of 20 | 10% | 8 | 21 | 5 | 29 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 42% | 38% | 10% |
| 1 of 20 | 5% | 7 | 22 | 5 | 26 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 16% | 45% | 39% |
| 0 of 20 | 0% | 6 | 23 | 5 | 23 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 21% | 77% |