The Nice What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||
| Win Next Game | 14 | 7 | 9 | 51 | X | 1% | 3% | 9% | 23% | 32% | 26% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 13 | 7 | 9 | 48 | X | <1% | 2% | 7% | 20% | 31% | 30% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 13 | 8 | 9 | 48 | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 25% | 45% | 19% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||
| Best Case Scenario | X | 1% | 6% | 17% | 27% | 25% | 19% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | X | <1% | 2% | 7% | 20% | 31% | 30% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 25% | 47% | 20% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario Montpellier beats Marseille Auxerre beats Lille Nice beats Angers |
Worst Case Scenario Marseille beats Montpellier Lille beats Auxerre Angers beats Nice |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
|||
| 5 of 5 | 100% | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63 | X | 16% | 45% | 32% | 7% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 5 | 80% | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | X | <1% | 7% | 31% | 47% | 15% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 5 | 60% | 16 | 9 | 9 | 57 | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 25% | 51% | 22% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 5 | 40% | 15 | 10 | 9 | 54 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 23% | 62% | 13% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 5 | 20% | 14 | 11 | 9 | 51 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 32% | 63% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 5 | 0% | 13 | 12 | 9 | 48 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 59% | 37% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |