The Nice What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
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Win Next Game | 14 | 5 | 7 | 49 | <1% | 23% | 32% | 22% | 13% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
Current Standings | 13 | 5 | 7 | 46 | <1% | 19% | 29% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Lose Next Game | 13 | 6 | 7 | 46 | <1% | 8% | 22% | 24% | 22% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||
Best Case Scenario | <1% | 26% | 40% | 19% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
Current Standings | <1% | 19% | 29% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 8% | 19% | 23% | 23% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
Best Case Scenario Nice beats Auxerre Angers beats AS Monaco Le Havre beats Lyon |
Worst Case Scenario Auxerre beats Nice AS Monaco beats Angers Lyon beats Le Havre |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
|||
9 of 9 | 100% | 22 | 5 | 7 | 73 | <1% | 97% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
8 of 9 | 89% | 21 | 6 | 7 | 70 | <1% | 85% | 15% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
7 of 9 | 78% | 20 | 7 | 7 | 67 | <1% | 58% | 40% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
6 of 9 | 67% | 19 | 8 | 7 | 64 | X | 21% | 56% | 21% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
5 of 9 | 56% | 18 | 9 | 7 | 61 | X | 2% | 26% | 45% | 23% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
4 of 9 | 44% | 17 | 10 | 7 | 58 | X | <1% | 3% | 21% | 44% | 28% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
3 of 9 | 33% | 16 | 11 | 7 | 55 | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 17% | 46% | 32% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
2 of 9 | 22% | 15 | 12 | 7 | 52 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 46% | 34% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
1 of 9 | 11% | 14 | 13 | 7 | 49 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 39% | 38% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
0 of 9 | 0% | 13 | 14 | 7 | 46 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 31% | 44% | 17% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |