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Fri Apr 25 5:00 pm

Ligue 1 - Week 37 of 40

Saint-Etienne What If?

The Saint-Etienne What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Saint-Etienne What If?

Next Game - Strasbourg (14‑7‑9)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
Win Next Game 8 17 6 30 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 23% 51% 19%
Current Standings 7 17 6 27 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 38% 53%
Lose Next Game 7 18 6 27 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 5% 36% 59%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
Best Case Scenario X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 30% 49% 13%
Current Standings X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 38% 53%
Worst Case Scenario X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 12% 87%
Best Case Scenario
   Saint-Etienne beats Strasbourg
   AS Monaco beats Le Havre
   Lille beats Angers
Worst Case Scenario
   Strasbourg beats Saint-Etienne
   Le Havre beats AS Monaco
   Angers beats Lille
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
4 of 4 100% 11 17 6 39 X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 32% 55% 12% 1% <1% <1%
3 of 4 75% 10 18 6 36 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 11% 45% 39% 5% <1%
2 of 4 50% 9 19 6 33 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 40% 52% 5%
1 of 4 25% 8 20 6 30 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 55% 45%
0 of 4 0% 7 21 6 27 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 4% 96%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Ligue 1 Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • #   denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • ##  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round
  • ###  denotes Relegation Playoff