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Sun Mar 30 4:45 pm

Ligue 1 - Week 33 of 40

Saint-Etienne What If?

The Saint-Etienne What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Saint-Etienne What If?

Next Game - Lens (11‑10‑6)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
 5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
Win Next Game 6 16 5 23 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 9% 26% 60%
Current Standings 5 16 5 20 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 14% 80%
Lose Next Game 5 17 5 20 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 13% 84%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
 5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
Best Case Scenario X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 10% 34% 51%
Current Standings X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 14% 80%
Worst Case Scenario X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 91%
Best Case Scenario
   Saint-Etienne beats Lens
   Montpellier beats Le Havre
 Worst Case Scenario
   Lens beats Saint-Etienne
   Le Havre beats Montpellier
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
 5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
8 of 8 100% 13 16 5 44 X X X X X X <1% <1% 4% 28% 45% 21% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
7 of 8 88% 12 17 5 41 X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 16% 49% 32% 1% <1% <1% <1%
6 of 8 75% 11 18 5 38 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 13% 64% 20% 2% <1% <1%
5 of 8 63% 10 19 5 35 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 24% 47% 25% 4% <1%
4 of 8 50% 9 20 5 32 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 14% 43% 36% 6%
3 of 8 38% 8 21 5 29 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 7% 50% 43%
2 of 8 25% 7 22 5 26 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 13% 87%
1 of 8 13% 6 23 5 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 8 0% 5 24 5 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Ligue 1 Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • #   denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • ##  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round
  • ###  denotes Relegation Playoff