PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Dec 8 5:15 pm

Ligue 1 - Week 18 of 40

Saint-Etienne What If?

The Saint-Etienne What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Saint-Etienne What If?

Next Game - Toulouse (5‑5‑3)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
Win Next Game 5 9 1 16 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 6% 13% 26% 49%
Current Standings 4 9 1 13 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 8% 21% 64%
Lose Next Game 4 10 1 13 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 8% 21% 65%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
Best Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 6% 13% 28% 46%
Current Standings <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 8% 21% 64%
Worst Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 7% 15% 72%
Best Case Scenario
   Saint-Etienne beats Toulouse
   Nice beats Montpellier
   Strasbourg beats Le Havre
Worst Case Scenario
   Toulouse beats Saint-Etienne
   Montpellier beats Nice
   Le Havre beats Strasbourg
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
20 of 20 100% 24 9 1 73 23% 56% 19% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
19 of 20 95% 23 10 1 70 8% 43% 40% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
18 of 20 90% 22 11 1 67 1% 20% 44% 29% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
17 of 20 85% 21 12 1 64 <1% 5% 26% 41% 23% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
16 of 20 80% 20 13 1 61 <1% 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
15 of 20 75% 19 14 1 58 <1% <1% 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
14 of 20 70% 18 15 1 55 <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 27% 39% 21% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
13 of 20 65% 17 16 1 52 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 28% 40% 20% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
12 of 20 60% 16 17 1 49 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 27% 39% 21% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
11 of 20 55% 15 18 1 46 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 24% 38% 24% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
10 of 20 50% 14 19 1 43 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 20% 36% 28% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1%
9 of 20 45% 13 20 1 40 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 16% 36% 31% 12% 2% <1% <1%
8 of 20 40% 12 21 1 37 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2% <1%
7 of 20 35% 11 22 1 34 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 11% 33% 38% 15% 1%
6 of 20 30% 10 23 1 31 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 11% 39% 41% 9%
5 of 20 25% 9 24 1 28 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 16% 51% 32%
4 of 20 20% 8 25 1 25 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 33% 64%
3 of 20 15% 7 26 1 22 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 11% 89%
2 of 20 10% 6 27 1 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 98%
1 of 20 5% 5 28 1 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
0 of 20 0% 4 29 1 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Ligue 1 Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • #   denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • ##  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round
  • ###  denotes Relegation Playoff