The Buffalo Bulls What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Buffalo plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | |
| Win Next Game | 6 | 1 | 45% | 26% | 25% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 5 | 1 | 30% | 23% | 31% | 10% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 5 | 2 | 2% | 15% | 46% | 24% | 8% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 67% | 23% | 6% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 30% | 23% | 31% | 10% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | 1% | 11% | 50% | 25% | 9% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario Eastern Michigan beats Western Michigan Buffalo beats Central Michigan |
Worst Case Scenario Western Michigan beats Eastern Michigan Central Michigan beats Buffalo |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | ||
| 2 of 2 | 100% | 7 | 1 | 53% | 30% | 18% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 2 | 50% | 6 | 2 | 2% | 19% | 55% | 21% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 2 | 0% | 5 | 3 | X | <1% | 6% | 36% | 31% | 23% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |