The Buffalo Bulls What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Buffalo plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | |
| Win Next Game | 5 | 2 | 7% | 18% | 24% | 25% | 25% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 4 | 2 | 4% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 4 | 3 | X | <1% | 4% | 17% | 18% | 24% | 18% | 12% | 6% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 13% | 32% | 23% | 22% | 8% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 4% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | X | 1% | 9% | 26% | 41% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario Buffalo beats Miami OH Kent State beats Central Michigan Ball State beats Toledo |
Worst Case Scenario Miami OH beats Buffalo Central Michigan beats Kent State Toledo beats Ball State |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | ||
| 2 of 2 | 100% | 6 | 2 | 16% | 41% | 43% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 2 | 50% | 5 | 3 | X | 1% | 9% | 42% | 41% | 7% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 2 | 0% | 4 | 4 | X | X | X | X | 3% | 35% | 30% | 21% | 10% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |