The Miami OH Redhawks What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Miami OH plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | |
Win Next Game | 3 | 0 | 20% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 2 | 0 | 18% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
Lose Next Game | 2 | 1 | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 2% | <1% |
Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | |
Best Case Scenario | 20% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 18% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
Worst Case Scenario | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 2% | <1% |
Best Case Scenario Miami OH beats Eastern Michigan |
Worst Case Scenario Eastern Michigan beats Miami OH |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | ||
6 of 6 | 100% | 8 | 0 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
5 of 6 | 83% | 7 | 1 | 70% | 27% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
4 of 6 | 67% | 6 | 2 | 14% | 37% | 34% | 14% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
3 of 6 | 50% | 5 | 3 | <1% | 3% | 15% | 31% | 31% | 16% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
2 of 6 | 33% | 4 | 4 | X | X | <1% | 1% | 8% | 24% | 34% | 23% | 8% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
1 of 6 | 17% | 3 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 20% | 33% | 29% | 12% | 2% | <1% |
0 of 6 | 0% | 2 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 21% | 43% | 28% | 4% |