The Most Important Games for the Fairfield Stags are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Stags final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Fairfield Stags fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Fairfield Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Fairfield (16‑11) vs Sacred Heart (12‑16) |
40 | Fairfield Wins | X | X | <1% | 2% | 11% | 47% | 25% | 11% | 3% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 1% | 9% | 37% | 24% | 14% | 8% | 5% | ^ | ||
| Sacred Heart Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 18% | 24% | 21% | 20% | 14% | ^ | ||
| Niagara (7‑19) vs Mount St. Mary's (12‑15) |
9 | Niagara Wins | X | X | <1% | 1% | 9% | 43% | 21% | 13% | 7% | 5% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 1% | 9% | 37% | 24% | 14% | 8% | 5% | ^ | ||
| Mount St. Mary's Wins | X | X | <1% | 1% | 8% | 35% | 25% | 15% | 8% | 6% | ^ | ||
| Marist (16‑10) vs Manhattan (12‑16) |
3 | Marist Wins | X | X | <1% | 1% | 7% | 41% | 26% | 14% | 7% | 5% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 1% | 9% | 37% | 24% | 14% | 8% | 5% | ^ | ||
| Manhattan Wins | X | X | <1% | 2% | 12% | 32% | 21% | 17% | 9% | 7% | ^ | ||
| St. Peter's (15‑9) vs Iona (15‑12) |
1 | St. Peter's Wins | X | X | <1% | 1% | 9% | 38% | 27% | 14% | 7% | 4% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 1% | 9% | 37% | 24% | 14% | 8% | 5% | ^ | ||
| Iona Wins | X | X | <1% | 1% | 9% | 37% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 7% | ^ | ||
| Siena (18‑9) vs Merrimack (18‑9) |
0 | Siena Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 10% | 38% | 24% | 14% | 8% | 5% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 1% | 9% | 37% | 24% | 14% | 8% | 5% | ^ | ||
| Merrimack Wins | X | X | <1% | 2% | 8% | 38% | 24% | 14% | 8% | 6% | ^ | ||
| Rider (3‑22) vs Canisius (8‑19) |
0 | Rider Wins | X | X | <1% | 1% | 9% | 37% | 24% | 14% | 8% | 5% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 1% | 9% | 37% | 24% | 14% | 8% | 5% | ^ | ||
| Canisius Wins | X | X | <1% | 1% | 9% | 37% | 24% | 14% | 8% | 5% | ^ | ||