The Most Important Games for the Fairfield Stags are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Stags final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Fairfield Stags fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Fairfield Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Fairfield (2‑3) vs Rider (3‑2) |
12 | Fairfield Wins | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 27% | ||
| Rider Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 28% | ||
| Marist (3‑1) vs Mount St. Mary's (3‑3) |
2 | Marist Wins | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 27% | ||
| Mount St. Mary's Wins | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 28% | ||
| Niagara (1‑4) vs Siena (3‑2) |
1 | Niagara Wins | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 27% | ||
| Siena Wins | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 27% | ||
| Manhattan (2‑2) vs St. Peter's (2‑3) |
1 | Manhattan Wins | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 27% | ||
| St. Peter's Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 27% | ||
| Canisius (0‑6) vs Merrimack (1‑3) |
0 | Canisius Wins | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 27% | ||
| Merrimack Wins | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 28% | ||
| Sacred Heart (1‑5) vs Iona (1‑4) |
0 | Sacred Heart Wins | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 27% | ||
| Iona Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 28% | ||