The Most Important Games for the Fairfield Stags are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Stags final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Fairfield Stags fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Fairfield Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Fairfield (9‑7) vs Rider (1‑12) |
19 | Fairfield Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 17% | ||
| Rider Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 25% | ||
| St. Peter's (7‑5) vs Mount St. Mary's (5‑11) |
2 | St. Peter's Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 17% | ||
| Mount St. Mary's Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 19% | ||
| Marist (9‑5) vs Sacred Heart (5‑11) |
1 | Marist Wins | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 17% | ||
| Sacred Heart Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 19% | ||
| Canisius (7‑8) vs Manhattan (7‑9) |
1 | Canisius Wins | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 17% | ||
| Manhattan Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 18% | ||
| Niagara (4‑10) vs Iona (10‑6) |
1 | Niagara Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 17% | ||
| Iona Wins | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 17% | ||
| Siena (10‑5) vs Merrimack (9‑7) |
0 | Siena Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 17% | ||
| Merrimack Wins | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 17% | ||