The Most Important Games for the Fairfield Stags are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Stags final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Fairfield Stags fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Fairfield Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Fairfield (9‑17) vs Rider (10‑16) |
40 | Fairfield Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 20% | 24% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 12% | 19% | 61% | ||
| Rider Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 15% | 78% | ||
| Mount St. Mary's (15‑11) vs St. Peter's (9‑13) |
8 | Mount St. Mary's Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 12% | 20% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 12% | 19% | 61% | ||
| St. Peter's Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 68% | ||
| Siena (12‑14) vs Niagara (10‑15) |
6 | Siena Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 12% | 20% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 12% | 19% | 61% | ||
| Niagara Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 15% | 66% | ||
| Merrimack (14‑12) vs Sacred Heart (11‑14) |
3 | Merrimack Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 19% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 12% | 19% | 61% | ||
| Sacred Heart Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 19% | 63% | ||
| Marist (18‑5) vs Canisius (2‑23) |
0 | Marist Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 19% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 12% | 19% | 61% | ||
| Canisius Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 12% | 18% | 61% | ||
| Manhattan (13‑10) vs Iona (11‑15) |
0 | Manhattan Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 19% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 12% | 19% | 61% | ||
| Iona Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 12% | 18% | 61% | ||