The Most Important Games for the Manhattan Jaspers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Jaspers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Manhattan Jaspers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Manhattan Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Manhattan (12‑16) vs Marist (16‑10) |
11 | Manhattan Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 8% | 19% | 25% | 33% | 12% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 4% | 12% | 21% | 34% | 28% | ^ | ||
| Marist Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 7% | 19% | 36% | 37% | ^ | ||
| Niagara (7‑19) vs Mount St. Mary's (12‑15) |
4 | Niagara Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 6% | 12% | 21% | 32% | 27% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 4% | 12% | 21% | 34% | 28% | ^ | ||
| Mount St. Mary's Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 3% | 11% | 21% | 35% | 29% | ^ | ||
| Sacred Heart (12‑16) vs Fairfield (16‑11) |
2 | Sacred Heart Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 5% | 14% | 17% | 24% | 39% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 4% | 12% | 21% | 34% | 28% | ^ | ||
| Fairfield Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 23% | 38% | 24% | ^ | ||
| St. Peter's (15‑9) vs Iona (15‑12) |
1 | St. Peter's Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 4% | 13% | 23% | 30% | 28% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 4% | 12% | 21% | 34% | 28% | ^ | ||
| Iona Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 18% | 39% | 28% | ^ | ||
| Merrimack (18‑9) vs Siena (18‑9) |
0 | Merrimack Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 21% | 34% | 28% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 4% | 12% | 21% | 34% | 28% | ^ | ||
| Siena Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 4% | 11% | 21% | 34% | 29% | ^ | ||
| Rider (3‑22) vs Canisius (8‑19) |
0 | Rider Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 4% | 12% | 21% | 34% | 28% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 4% | 12% | 21% | 34% | 28% | ^ | ||
| Canisius Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 4% | 12% | 21% | 34% | 28% | ^ | ||