The Most Important Games for the Manhattan Jaspers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Jaspers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Manhattan Jaspers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Manhattan Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Manhattan (7‑9) vs Canisius (7‑8) |
21 | Manhattan Wins | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 7% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 9% | ||
| Canisius Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 10% | 11% | ||
| Rider (1‑12) vs Fairfield (9‑7) |
1 | Rider Wins | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 9% | ||
| Fairfield Wins | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 8% | ||
| St. Peter's (7‑5) vs Mount St. Mary's (5‑11) |
1 | St. Peter's Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 9% | ||
| Mount St. Mary's Wins | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 9% | ||
| Iona (10‑6) vs Niagara (4‑10) |
0 | Iona Wins | 2% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 9% | ||
| Niagara Wins | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 9% | 9% | ||
| Siena (10‑5) vs Merrimack (9‑7) |
0 | Siena Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 9% | ||
| Merrimack Wins | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 8% | ||
| Marist (9‑5) vs Sacred Heart (5‑11) |
0 | Marist Wins | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 9% | ||
| Sacred Heart Wins | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 9% | 9% | ||