The Most Important Games for the Manhattan Jaspers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Jaspers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Manhattan Jaspers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Manhattan Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Manhattan (13‑10) vs Iona (11‑15) |
22 | Manhattan Wins | <1% | 4% | 17% | 35% | 25% | 10% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 12% | 27% | 25% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Iona Wins | <1% | <1% | 5% | 18% | 25% | 22% | 17% | 10% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Niagara (10‑15) vs Siena (12‑14) |
4 | Niagara Wins | <1% | 3% | 12% | 29% | 26% | 15% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 12% | 27% | 25% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Siena Wins | <1% | 3% | 12% | 26% | 24% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Merrimack (14‑12) vs Sacred Heart (11‑14) |
3 | Merrimack Wins | <1% | 2% | 10% | 28% | 26% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 12% | 27% | 25% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Sacred Heart Wins | <1% | 4% | 16% | 24% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| St. Peter's (9‑13) vs Mount St. Mary's (15‑11) |
3 | St. Peter's Wins | <1% | 3% | 14% | 32% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 12% | 27% | 25% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Mount St. Mary's Wins | <1% | 3% | 11% | 25% | 25% | 16% | 12% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Fairfield (9‑17) vs Rider (10‑16) |
1 | Fairfield Wins | <1% | 3% | 12% | 27% | 25% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 12% | 27% | 25% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rider Wins | <1% | 3% | 12% | 27% | 24% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Canisius (2‑23) vs Marist (18‑5) |
0 | Canisius Wins | <1% | 3% | 12% | 27% | 24% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 12% | 27% | 25% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Marist Wins | <1% | 3% | 12% | 28% | 24% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||