The Most Important Games for the Manhattan Jaspers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Jaspers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Manhattan Jaspers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Manhattan Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Marist (12‑2) vs St. Peter's (6‑7) |
4 | Marist Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 11% | ||
| St. Peter's Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 13% | ||
| Canisius (1‑15) vs Iona (5‑12) |
1 | Canisius Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 11% | ||
| Iona Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 12% | ||
| Sacred Heart (6‑10) vs Siena (7‑9) |
1 | Sacred Heart Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 11% | ||
| Siena Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 12% | ||
| Mount St. Mary's (11‑6) vs Rider (5‑11) |
1 | Mount St. Mary's Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 11% | ||
| Rider Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 12% | ||
| Quinnipiac (9‑8) vs Merrimack (8‑8) |
0 | Quinnipiac Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 11% | ||
| Merrimack Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 11% | ||
| Niagara (7‑9) vs Fairfield (6‑10) |
0 | Niagara Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 11% | ||
| Fairfield Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 12% | ||