The Most Important Games for the Marist Red Foxes are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Red Foxes final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Marist Red Foxes fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Marist Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Marist (16‑10) vs Manhattan (12‑16) |
9 | Marist Wins | X | <1% | 5% | 17% | 68% | 10% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 3% | 12% | 66% | 15% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Manhattan Wins | X | X | <1% | 3% | 65% | 22% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Niagara (7‑19) vs Mount St. Mary's (12‑15) |
1 | Niagara Wins | X | <1% | 3% | 12% | 68% | 13% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 3% | 12% | 66% | 15% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Mount St. Mary's Wins | X | <1% | 3% | 12% | 66% | 15% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Fairfield (16‑11) vs Sacred Heart (12‑16) |
1 | Fairfield Wins | X | <1% | 3% | 11% | 67% | 14% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 3% | 12% | 66% | 15% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Sacred Heart Wins | X | <1% | 3% | 13% | 66% | 14% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Siena (18‑9) vs Merrimack (18‑9) |
0 | Siena Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 13% | 68% | 15% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 3% | 12% | 66% | 15% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Merrimack Wins | X | <1% | 4% | 12% | 65% | 14% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| St. Peter's (15‑9) vs Iona (15‑12) |
0 | St. Peter's Wins | X | <1% | 3% | 10% | 68% | 15% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 3% | 12% | 66% | 15% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Iona Wins | X | <1% | 3% | 14% | 64% | 14% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Rider (3‑22) vs Canisius (8‑19) |
0 | Rider Wins | X | <1% | 3% | 12% | 66% | 15% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 3% | 12% | 66% | 15% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Canisius Wins | X | <1% | 3% | 12% | 66% | 15% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||