The Most Important Games for the Marist Red Foxes are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Red Foxes final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Marist Red Foxes fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Marist Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| St. Peter's (9‑13) vs Mount St. Mary's (15‑11) |
0 | St. Peter's Wins | 73% | 21% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 73% | 21% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Mount St. Mary's Wins | 72% | 22% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Iona (11‑15) vs Manhattan (13‑10) |
0 | Iona Wins | 72% | 22% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 73% | 21% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Manhattan Wins | 73% | 21% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Rider (10‑16) vs Fairfield (9‑17) |
0 | Rider Wins | 72% | 22% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 73% | 21% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Fairfield Wins | 73% | 21% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Niagara (10‑15) vs Siena (12‑14) |
0 | Niagara Wins | 73% | 21% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 73% | 21% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Siena Wins | 73% | 21% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Sacred Heart (11‑14) vs Merrimack (14‑12) |
0 | Sacred Heart Wins | 76% | 21% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 73% | 21% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Merrimack Wins | 72% | 21% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Marist (18‑5) vs Canisius (2‑23) |
0 | Marist Wins | 75% | 20% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 73% | 21% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Canisius Wins | 48% | 35% | 13% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||