The Most Important Games for the Marist Red Foxes are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Red Foxes final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Marist Red Foxes fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Marist Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Marist (3‑1) vs Mount St. Mary's (3‑3) |
9 | Marist Wins | 24% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Mount St. Mary's Wins | 15% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Merrimack (1‑3) vs Canisius (0‑6) |
2 | Merrimack Wins | 21% | 15% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Canisius Wins | 22% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Siena (3‑2) vs Niagara (1‑4) |
1 | Siena Wins | 20% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Niagara Wins | 23% | 15% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Fairfield (2‑3) vs Rider (3‑2) |
0 | Fairfield Wins | 22% | 15% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Rider Wins | 21% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% | ||
| St. Peter's (2‑3) vs Manhattan (2‑2) |
0 | St. Peter's Wins | 22% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Manhattan Wins | 22% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 5% | ||
| Sacred Heart (1‑5) vs Iona (1‑4) |
0 | Sacred Heart Wins | 22% | 15% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Iona Wins | 22% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 4% | ||