The Most Important Games for the Siena Saints are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Saints final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Siena Saints fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Siena Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Siena (12‑14) vs Niagara (10‑15) |
31 | Siena Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 10% | 16% | 24% | 30% | 13% | 6% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 7% | 13% | 20% | 28% | 16% | 10% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Niagara Wins | X | X | <1% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 25% | 21% | 17% | 10% | 4% | ||
| St. Peter's (9‑13) vs Mount St. Mary's (15‑11) |
6 | St. Peter's Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 9% | 16% | 20% | 25% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 7% | 13% | 20% | 28% | 16% | 10% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Mount St. Mary's Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 7% | 12% | 19% | 29% | 16% | 10% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Merrimack (14‑12) vs Sacred Heart (11‑14) |
4 | Merrimack Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 8% | 14% | 20% | 29% | 15% | 9% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 7% | 13% | 20% | 28% | 16% | 10% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Sacred Heart Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 18% | 26% | 17% | 12% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Fairfield (9‑17) vs Rider (10‑16) |
1 | Fairfield Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 7% | 14% | 21% | 30% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 7% | 13% | 20% | 28% | 16% | 10% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Rider Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 7% | 14% | 19% | 27% | 16% | 11% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Manhattan (13‑10) vs Iona (11‑15) |
1 | Manhattan Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 9% | 13% | 19% | 28% | 15% | 9% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 7% | 13% | 20% | 28% | 16% | 10% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Iona Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 7% | 14% | 20% | 28% | 16% | 10% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Marist (18‑5) vs Canisius (2‑23) |
1 | Marist Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 7% | 14% | 20% | 27% | 16% | 10% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 7% | 13% | 20% | 28% | 16% | 10% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Canisius Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 7% | 14% | 19% | 28% | 16% | 10% | 4% | 2% | ||