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Wed Feb 4 12:15 am

Missouri Valley Basketball - Week 14 of 17

Belmont Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Belmont Bruins are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bruins final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Belmont Bruins fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Belmont Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Belmont Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5*
First Round Bye
6 7 8 9 10 11
Belmont
(21‑3)

vs
UIC
(13‑11)
0 Belmont Wins 93% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities 90% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
UIC Wins 80% 16% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Evansville
(5‑18)

vs
Valparaiso
(11‑12)
0 Evansville Wins 89% 9% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities 90% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Valparaiso Wins 90% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Northern Iowa
(14‑9)

vs
Bradley
(16‑8)
0 Northern Iowa Wins 91% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 90% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Bradley Wins 88% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
Southern Illinois
(10‑13)

vs
Murray State
(17‑7)
0 Southern Illinois Wins 93% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 90% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Murray State Wins 88% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
Drake
(12‑12)

vs
Illinois St.
(15‑8)
0 Drake Wins 90% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 90% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Illinois St. Wins 90% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament