The Most Important Games for the Evansville Aces are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Aces final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Evansville Aces fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Evansville Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Evansville (4‑7) vs Belmont (10‑1) |
6 | Evansville Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 19% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 18% | 26% | <1% | 1% | ||
| Belmont Wins | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 19% | 27% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| UIC (4‑6) vs Northern Iowa (8‑2) |
1 | UIC Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 28% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 18% | 26% | <1% | 1% | ||
| Northern Iowa Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 18% | 27% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Drake (6‑5) vs Murray State (8‑3) |
0 | Drake Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 27% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 18% | 26% | <1% | 1% | ||
| Murray State Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 18% | 26% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Bradley (5‑4) vs Indiana St. (6‑4) |
0 | Bradley Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 18% | 27% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 18% | 26% | <1% | 1% | ||
| Indiana St. Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 27% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Illinois St. (7‑3) vs Southern Illinois (6‑5) |
0 | Illinois St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 19% | 26% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 18% | 26% | <1% | 1% | ||
| Southern Illinois Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 18% | 26% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||