The Most Important Games for the Evansville Aces are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Aces final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Evansville Aces fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Evansville Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Evansville (1‑4) vs Murray State (3‑1) |
3 | Evansville Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 16% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 25% | ||
| Murray State Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 17% | 26% | ||
| Valparaiso (2‑2) vs Drake (5‑0) |
0 | Valparaiso Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 25% | ||
| Drake Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 25% | ||
| Indiana St. (2‑2) vs Missouri St. (3‑1) |
0 | Indiana St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 25% | ||
| Missouri St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 17% | 25% | ||
| Southern Illinois (2‑2) vs Bradley (4‑1) |
0 | Southern Illinois Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 25% | ||
| Bradley Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 25% | ||
| Belmont (4‑1) vs Illinois St. (3‑1) |
0 | Belmont Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 25% | ||
| Illinois St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 26% | ||
| UIC (3‑2) vs Northern Iowa (3‑2) |
0 | UIC Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 16% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 25% | ||
| Northern Iowa Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 16% | 26% | ||