The Most Important Games for the Evansville Aces are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Aces final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Evansville Aces fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Evansville Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Evansville (11‑17) vs UIC (16‑12) |
1 | Evansville Wins | X | X | X | 1% | 19% | 14% | 19% | 37% | 10% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 24% | 36% | 12% | ^ | ^ | ||
| UIC Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 20% | 47% | 16% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Indiana St. (13‑15) vs Belmont (18‑10) |
1 | Indiana St. Wins | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 20% | 25% | 31% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 24% | 36% | 12% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Belmont Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 25% | 40% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bradley (21‑7) vs Murray State (14‑14) |
0 | Bradley Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 8% | 9% | 13% | 23% | 35% | 11% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 24% | 36% | 12% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Murray State Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 26% | 36% | 14% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Illinois St. (16‑12) vs Missouri St. (9‑19) |
0 | Illinois St. Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 25% | 37% | 12% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 24% | 36% | 12% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Missouri St. Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 12% | 14% | 22% | 34% | 11% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Valparaiso (12‑16) vs Southern Illinois (12‑16) |
0 | Valparaiso Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 10% | 15% | 28% | 33% | 6% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 24% | 36% | 12% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Southern Illinois Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 21% | 37% | 16% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Northern Iowa (19‑9) vs Drake (24‑3) |
0 | Northern Iowa Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 24% | 36% | 12% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 24% | 36% | 12% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Drake Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 24% | 36% | 12% | ^ | ^ | ||