The Most Important Games for the Evansville Aces are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Aces final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Evansville Aces fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Evansville Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Evansville (4‑10) vs Illinois St. (10‑3) |
2 | Evansville Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 19% | 25% | 27% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 25% | 38% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Illinois St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 17% | 24% | 39% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Belmont (12‑2) vs Bradley (9‑4) |
0 | Belmont Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 24% | 39% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 25% | 38% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bradley Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 24% | 39% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Murray State (11‑3) vs UIC (5‑8) |
0 | Murray State Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 25% | 38% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 25% | 38% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UIC Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 23% | 42% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Valparaiso (6‑7) vs Southern Illinois (6‑8) |
0 | Valparaiso Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 24% | 39% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 25% | 38% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Southern Illinois Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 25% | 39% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Northern Iowa (10‑3) vs Indiana St. (8‑6) |
0 | Northern Iowa Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 25% | 38% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 25% | 38% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Indiana St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 17% | 24% | 39% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||