The Most Important Games for the Illinois St. Redbirds are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Redbirds final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Illinois St. Redbirds fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Illinois St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Indiana St. (13‑15) vs Belmont (18‑10) |
8 | Indiana St. Wins | X | X | X | 10% | 36% | 28% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 2% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 3% | 41% | 31% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Belmont Wins | X | X | X | 1% | 43% | 31% | 11% | 8% | 6% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Illinois St. (16‑12) vs Missouri St. (9‑19) |
4 | Illinois St. Wins | X | X | X | 4% | 48% | 31% | 7% | 6% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 3% | 41% | 31% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Missouri St. Wins | X | X | X | 1% | 21% | 32% | 20% | 14% | 11% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Evansville (11‑17) vs UIC (16‑12) |
2 | Evansville Wins | X | X | X | 5% | 51% | 21% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 3% | 41% | 31% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| UIC Wins | X | X | X | 3% | 38% | 33% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Murray State (14‑14) vs Bradley (21‑7) |
2 | Murray State Wins | X | X | X | 4% | 42% | 20% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 2% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 3% | 41% | 31% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bradley Wins | X | X | X | 3% | 41% | 34% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Southern Illinois (12‑16) vs Valparaiso (12‑16) |
0 | Southern Illinois Wins | X | X | X | 3% | 40% | 30% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 3% | 41% | 31% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Valparaiso Wins | X | X | X | 3% | 42% | 32% | 10% | 8% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Northern Iowa (19‑9) vs Drake (24‑3) |
0 | Northern Iowa Wins | X | X | X | 3% | 41% | 31% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 3% | 41% | 31% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Drake Wins | X | X | X | 3% | 41% | 31% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||