The Most Important Games for the Illinois St. Redbirds are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Redbirds final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Illinois St. Redbirds fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Illinois St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Illinois St. (12‑8) vs Bradley (17‑3) |
9 | Illinois St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 18% | 21% | 18% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 18% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Bradley Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 12% | 18% | 21% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Evansville (6‑13) vs UIC (13‑6) |
1 | Evansville Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 18% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 3% | <1% | ||
| UIC Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 19% | 20% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Indiana St. (9‑11) vs Northern Iowa (12‑8) |
1 | Indiana St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 18% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Northern Iowa Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 19% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Southern Illinois (8‑11) vs Murray State (10‑9) |
1 | Southern Illinois Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 19% | 18% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 18% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Murray State Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 13% | 18% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Drake (16‑2) vs Valparaiso (10‑9) |
0 | Drake Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 14% | 19% | 19% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 18% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Valparaiso Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 13% | 17% | 18% | 18% | 13% | 8% | 3% | <1% | ||