The Most Important Games for the Illinois St. Redbirds are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Redbirds final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Illinois St. Redbirds fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Illinois St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Illinois St. (7‑3) vs Southern Illinois (6‑5) |
9 | Illinois St. Wins | 15% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 10% | 13% | ||
| Southern Illinois Wins | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Belmont (10‑1) vs Evansville (4‑7) |
1 | Belmont Wins | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 15% | 15% | ||
| Evansville Wins | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| UIC (4‑6) vs Northern Iowa (8‑2) |
0 | UIC Wins | 15% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 14% | 14% | ||
| Northern Iowa Wins | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Indiana St. (6‑4) vs Bradley (5‑4) |
0 | Indiana St. Wins | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 14% | 15% | ||
| Bradley Wins | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Murray State (8‑3) vs Drake (6‑5) |
0 | Murray State Wins | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 14% | 16% | ||
| Drake Wins | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||