The Most Important Games for the Missouri St. Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Missouri St. Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Missouri St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Missouri St. (3‑1) vs Indiana St. (2‑2) |
7 | Missouri St. Wins | 9% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Indiana St. Wins | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 5% | ||
| Evansville (1‑4) vs Murray State (3‑1) |
1 | Evansville Wins | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Murray State Wins | 9% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Southern Illinois (2‑2) vs Bradley (4‑1) |
0 | Southern Illinois Wins | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Bradley Wins | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Illinois St. (3‑1) vs Belmont (4‑1) |
0 | Illinois St. Wins | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Belmont Wins | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 4% | ||
| UIC (3‑2) vs Northern Iowa (3‑2) |
0 | UIC Wins | 9% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Northern Iowa Wins | 9% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Valparaiso (2‑2) vs Drake (5‑0) |
0 | Valparaiso Wins | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Drake Wins | 9% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | ||