The Most Important Games for the Missouri St. Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Missouri St. Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Missouri St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Missouri St. (7‑10) vs Southern Illinois (6‑11) |
0 | Missouri St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 14% | 29% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 23% | 54% | ||
| Southern Illinois Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 16% | 69% | ||
| Illinois St. (10‑7) vs Drake (14‑2) |
0 | Illinois St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 24% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 23% | 54% | ||
| Drake Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 23% | 54% | ||
| Bradley (14‑3) vs Indiana St. (9‑8) |
0 | Bradley Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 24% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 23% | 54% | ||
| Indiana St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 12% | 24% | 54% | ||
| Valparaiso (10‑7) vs Belmont (12‑5) |
0 | Valparaiso Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 24% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 23% | 54% | ||
| Belmont Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 23% | 53% | ||
| UIC (11‑6) vs Murray State (9‑6) |
0 | UIC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 24% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 23% | 54% | ||
| Murray State Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 23% | 54% | ||
| Evansville (6‑11) vs Northern Iowa (10‑7) |
0 | Evansville Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 23% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 23% | 54% | ||
| Northern Iowa Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 23% | 53% | ||