The Most Important Games for the Missouri St. Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Missouri St. Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Missouri St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| UIC (16‑12) vs Evansville (11‑17) |
0 | UIC Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Evansville Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Belmont (18‑10) vs Indiana St. (13‑15) |
0 | Belmont Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Indiana St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Bradley (21‑7) vs Murray State (14‑14) |
0 | Bradley Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Murray State Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Southern Illinois (12‑16) vs Valparaiso (12‑16) |
0 | Southern Illinois Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Valparaiso Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Missouri St. (9‑19) vs Illinois St. (16‑12) |
0 | Missouri St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Illinois St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Northern Iowa (19‑9) vs Drake (24‑3) |
0 | Northern Iowa Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Drake Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||