The Most Important Games for the Murray State Racers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Racers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Murray State Racers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Murray State Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Murray State (14‑14) vs Bradley (21‑7) |
6 | Murray State Wins | X | X | X | 6% | 19% | 30% | 25% | 14% | 6% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 2% | 8% | 19% | 32% | 19% | 12% | 8% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bradley Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 17% | 35% | 20% | 14% | 10% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Indiana St. (13‑15) vs Belmont (18‑10) |
3 | Indiana St. Wins | X | X | X | 4% | 6% | 17% | 30% | 21% | 16% | 6% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 2% | 8% | 19% | 32% | 19% | 12% | 8% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Belmont Wins | X | X | X | 1% | 8% | 21% | 33% | 17% | 11% | 9% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Missouri St. (9‑19) vs Illinois St. (16‑12) |
1 | Missouri St. Wins | X | X | X | 3% | 15% | 16% | 26% | 20% | 12% | 8% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 2% | 8% | 19% | 32% | 19% | 12% | 8% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Illinois St. Wins | X | X | X | 1% | 5% | 21% | 35% | 18% | 12% | 8% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Evansville (11‑17) vs UIC (16‑12) |
1 | Evansville Wins | X | X | X | 2% | 8% | 27% | 24% | 13% | 16% | 10% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 2% | 8% | 19% | 32% | 19% | 12% | 8% | ^ | ^ | ||
| UIC Wins | X | X | X | 2% | 8% | 17% | 36% | 20% | 11% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Valparaiso (12‑16) vs Southern Illinois (12‑16) |
0 | Valparaiso Wins | X | X | X | 2% | 8% | 20% | 35% | 20% | 13% | 3% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 2% | 8% | 19% | 32% | 19% | 12% | 8% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Southern Illinois Wins | X | X | X | 2% | 8% | 20% | 31% | 18% | 12% | 10% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Northern Iowa (19‑9) vs Drake (24‑3) |
0 | Northern Iowa Wins | X | X | X | 2% | 8% | 19% | 32% | 19% | 12% | 8% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 2% | 8% | 19% | 32% | 19% | 12% | 8% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Drake Wins | X | X | X | 2% | 8% | 19% | 32% | 19% | 12% | 8% | ^ | ^ | ||