The Most Important Games for the Murray State Racers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Racers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Murray State Racers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Murray State Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Murray State (9‑6) vs UIC (11‑6) |
17 | Murray State Wins | 9% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| UIC Wins | 4% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Evansville (6‑11) vs Northern Iowa (10‑7) |
3 | Evansville Wins | 7% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Northern Iowa Wins | 7% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Valparaiso (10‑7) vs Belmont (12‑5) |
1 | Valparaiso Wins | 7% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Belmont Wins | 7% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Bradley (14‑3) vs Indiana St. (9‑8) |
1 | Bradley Wins | 7% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Indiana St. Wins | 8% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Illinois St. (10‑7) vs Drake (14‑2) |
0 | Illinois St. Wins | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Drake Wins | 6% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Missouri St. (7‑10) vs Southern Illinois (6‑11) |
0 | Missouri St. Wins | 7% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Southern Illinois Wins | 7% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||