The Most Important Games for the Murray State Racers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Racers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Murray State Racers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Murray State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Murray State (19‑9) vs Illinois St. (17‑10) |
9 | Murray State Wins | X | 59% | 23% | 15% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 42% | 23% | 18% | 12% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Illinois St. Wins | X | 23% | 24% | 21% | 22% | 8% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Southern Illinois (13‑15) vs Northern Iowa (18‑10) |
3 | Southern Illinois Wins | X | 50% | 23% | 14% | 10% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 42% | 23% | 18% | 12% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Northern Iowa Wins | X | 39% | 22% | 19% | 14% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Valparaiso (15‑13) vs UIC (16‑12) |
3 | Valparaiso Wins | X | 46% | 25% | 18% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 42% | 23% | 18% | 12% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UIC Wins | X | 39% | 21% | 17% | 16% | 6% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Indiana St. (10‑18) vs Belmont (24‑4) |
0 | Indiana St. Wins | X | 42% | 23% | 17% | 13% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 42% | 23% | 18% | 12% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Belmont Wins | X | 42% | 23% | 18% | 13% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||