The Most Important Games for the Murray State Racers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Racers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Murray State Racers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Murray State Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Murray State (3‑1) vs Evansville (1‑4) |
6 | Murray State Wins | 14% | 13% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Evansville Wins | 9% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Northern Iowa (3‑2) vs UIC (3‑2) |
1 | Northern Iowa Wins | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| UIC Wins | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Valparaiso (2‑2) vs Drake (5‑0) |
1 | Valparaiso Wins | 15% | 13% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Drake Wins | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Southern Illinois (2‑2) vs Bradley (4‑1) |
1 | Southern Illinois Wins | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Bradley Wins | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Missouri St. (3‑1) vs Indiana St. (2‑2) |
0 | Missouri St. Wins | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Indiana St. Wins | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Illinois St. (3‑1) vs Belmont (4‑1) |
0 | Illinois St. Wins | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Belmont Wins | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||