The Most Important Games for the Murray State Racers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Racers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Murray State Racers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Murray State Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Murray State (14‑3) vs Valparaiso (8‑8) |
2 | Murray State Wins | 49% | 24% | 14% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 15% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 38% | 24% | ||
| Valparaiso Wins | 18% | 11% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Evansville (4‑13) vs Indiana St. (8‑8) |
0 | Evansville Wins | 48% | 23% | 15% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 15% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 48% | 23% | ||
| Indiana St. Wins | 15% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| UIC (6‑10) vs Illinois St. (11‑4) |
0 | UIC Wins | 50% | 23% | 14% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 15% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 47% | 24% | ||
| Illinois St. Wins | 15% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Northern Iowa (12‑4) vs Bradley (10‑6) |
0 | Northern Iowa Wins | 46% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 15% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 49% | 23% | ||
| Bradley Wins | 14% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Drake (8‑8) vs Belmont (14‑3) |
0 | Drake Wins | 51% | 23% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 15% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 46% | 23% | ||
| Belmont Wins | 16% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||