The Most Important Games for the Northern Iowa Panthers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Panthers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Northern Iowa Panthers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Northern Iowa Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Northern Iowa (18‑10) vs Southern Illinois (13‑15) |
26 | Northern Iowa Wins | X | 14% | 26% | 24% | 21% | 10% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 11% | 21% | 22% | 25% | 12% | 8% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Southern Illinois Wins | X | <1% | 6% | 19% | 34% | 20% | 16% | 6% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Murray State (19‑9) vs Illinois St. (17‑10) |
8 | Murray State Wins | X | 8% | 18% | 23% | 32% | 10% | 8% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 11% | 21% | 22% | 25% | 12% | 8% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Illinois St. Wins | X | 14% | 24% | 19% | 16% | 15% | 9% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UIC (16‑12) vs Valparaiso (15‑13) |
3 | UIC Wins | X | 8% | 20% | 22% | 29% | 15% | 5% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 11% | 21% | 22% | 25% | 12% | 8% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Valparaiso Wins | X | 14% | 21% | 22% | 18% | 10% | 13% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Belmont (24‑4) vs Indiana St. (10‑18) |
0 | Belmont Wins | X | 11% | 21% | 22% | 25% | 12% | 8% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 11% | 21% | 22% | 25% | 12% | 8% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Indiana St. Wins | X | 11% | 21% | 22% | 25% | 12% | 8% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||