The Most Important Games for the Northern Iowa Panthers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Panthers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Northern Iowa Panthers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Northern Iowa Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Northern Iowa (8‑2) vs UIC (4‑6) |
8 | Northern Iowa Wins | 22% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | 16% | 17% | ||
| UIC Wins | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Murray State (8‑3) vs Drake (6‑5) |
0 | Murray State Wins | 20% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | 22% | 18% | ||
| Drake Wins | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Evansville (4‑7) vs Belmont (10‑1) |
0 | Evansville Wins | 23% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | 20% | 18% | ||
| Belmont Wins | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Bradley (5‑4) vs Indiana St. (6‑4) |
0 | Bradley Wins | 21% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | 21% | 19% | ||
| Indiana St. Wins | 14% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Illinois St. (7‑3) vs Southern Illinois (6‑5) |
0 | Illinois St. Wins | 21% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | 21% | 18% | ||
| Southern Illinois Wins | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||