The Most Important Games for the Northern Iowa Panthers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Panthers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Northern Iowa Panthers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Northern Iowa Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Northern Iowa (10‑7) vs Evansville (6‑11) |
13 | Northern Iowa Wins | 6% | 9% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Evansville Wins | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Belmont (12‑5) vs Valparaiso (10‑7) |
1 | Belmont Wins | 6% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Valparaiso Wins | 6% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Illinois St. (10‑7) vs Drake (14‑2) |
1 | Illinois St. Wins | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Drake Wins | 5% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Indiana St. (9‑8) vs Bradley (14‑3) |
1 | Indiana St. Wins | 6% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Bradley Wins | 5% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Missouri St. (7‑10) vs Southern Illinois (6‑11) |
0 | Missouri St. Wins | 5% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Southern Illinois Wins | 5% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Murray State (9‑6) vs UIC (11‑6) |
0 | Murray State Wins | 5% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| UIC Wins | 6% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||