The Most Important Games for the UIC Flames are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Flames final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UIC Flames fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UIC Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| UIC (3‑2) vs Northern Iowa (3‑2) |
6 | UIC Wins | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Northern Iowa Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | ||
| Evansville (1‑4) vs Murray State (3‑1) |
1 | Evansville Wins | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Murray State Wins | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Bradley (4‑1) vs Southern Illinois (2‑2) |
0 | Bradley Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Southern Illinois Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Indiana St. (2‑2) vs Missouri St. (3‑1) |
0 | Indiana St. Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Missouri St. Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Valparaiso (2‑2) vs Drake (5‑0) |
0 | Valparaiso Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Drake Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Belmont (4‑1) vs Illinois St. (3‑1) |
0 | Belmont Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Illinois St. Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | ||