The Most Important Games for the UIC Flames are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Flames final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UIC Flames fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UIC Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Indiana St. (13‑15) vs Belmont (18‑10) |
1 | Indiana St. Wins | X | X | X | 1% | 24% | 22% | 21% | 12% | 12% | 8% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 30% | 25% | 18% | 11% | 10% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Belmont Wins | X | X | X | X | 33% | 26% | 17% | 11% | 8% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ||
| UIC (16‑12) vs Evansville (11‑17) |
1 | UIC Wins | X | X | X | 1% | 41% | 29% | 19% | 9% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 30% | 25% | 18% | 11% | 10% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Evansville Wins | X | X | X | X | 7% | 15% | 17% | 18% | 28% | 15% | 1% | ^ | ||
| Bradley (21‑7) vs Murray State (14‑14) |
0 | Bradley Wins | X | X | X | 1% | 34% | 24% | 17% | 11% | 10% | 5% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 30% | 25% | 18% | 11% | 10% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Murray State Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 20% | 26% | 23% | 13% | 11% | 6% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Illinois St. (16‑12) vs Missouri St. (9‑19) |
0 | Illinois St. Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 26% | 25% | 20% | 12% | 10% | 5% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 30% | 25% | 18% | 11% | 10% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Missouri St. Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 41% | 21% | 15% | 9% | 9% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Southern Illinois (12‑16) vs Valparaiso (12‑16) |
0 | Southern Illinois Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 28% | 23% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 6% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 30% | 25% | 18% | 11% | 10% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Valparaiso Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 34% | 27% | 18% | 9% | 8% | 3% | 1% | ^ | ||
| Northern Iowa (19‑9) vs Drake (24‑3) |
0 | Northern Iowa Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 30% | 25% | 18% | 11% | 10% | 5% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 30% | 25% | 18% | 11% | 10% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Drake Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 30% | 25% | 18% | 11% | 10% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ||