The Most Important Games for the UIC Flames are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Flames final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UIC Flames fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UIC Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| UIC (6‑10) vs Illinois St. (11‑4) |
3 | UIC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 21% | 24% | 15% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 19% | 27% | 23% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Illinois St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 20% | 28% | 24% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Northern Iowa (12‑4) vs Bradley (10‑6) |
0 | Northern Iowa Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 19% | 28% | 23% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 19% | 27% | 23% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bradley Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 19% | 28% | 23% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Belmont (14‑3) vs Drake (8‑8) |
0 | Belmont Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 19% | 27% | 23% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 19% | 27% | 23% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Drake Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 19% | 29% | 24% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Murray State (14‑3) vs Valparaiso (8‑8) |
0 | Murray State Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 19% | 28% | 23% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 19% | 27% | 23% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Valparaiso Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 19% | 28% | 24% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Evansville (4‑13) vs Indiana St. (8‑8) |
0 | Evansville Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 18% | 24% | 26% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 19% | 27% | 23% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Indiana St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 19% | 28% | 22% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||