The Most Important Games for the UIC Flames are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Flames final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UIC Flames fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UIC Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| UIC (10‑10) vs Bradley (14‑7) |
19 | UIC Wins | <1% | 3% | 9% | 14% | 18% | 18% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 6% | 1% | ||
| Bradley Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 14% | 17% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 1% | ||
| Murray State (16‑4) vs Northern Iowa (12‑8) |
4 | Murray State Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 6% | 1% | ||
| Northern Iowa Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 16% | 12% | 7% | <1% | ||
| Belmont (17‑3) vs Illinois St. (14‑6) |
2 | Belmont Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 6% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 6% | 1% | ||
| Illinois St. Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 17% | 19% | 16% | 11% | 6% | 1% | ||
| Indiana St. (9‑11) vs Drake (10‑10) |
1 | Indiana St. Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 7% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 6% | 1% | ||
| Drake Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 6% | 1% | ||
| Evansville (5‑15) vs Southern Illinois (8‑12) |
0 | Evansville Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 6% | 1% | ||
| Southern Illinois Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 6% | 1% | ||