The Most Important Games for the UIC Flames are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Flames final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UIC Flames fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UIC Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Indiana St. (7‑5) vs Illinois St. (8‑3) |
0 | Indiana St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 20% | 26% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 19% | 24% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Illinois St. Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 19% | 24% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Murray State (9‑3) vs Valparaiso (6‑5) |
0 | Murray State Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 19% | 24% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 19% | 24% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Valparaiso Wins | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 20% | 26% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Bradley (7‑4) vs Southern Illinois (6‑6) |
0 | Bradley Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 20% | 24% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 19% | 24% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Southern Illinois Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 20% | 25% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Drake (6‑6) vs Evansville (4‑8) |
0 | Drake Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 19% | 24% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 19% | 24% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Evansville Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 19% | 26% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||