The Most Important Games for the Boise State Broncos are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Broncos final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Boise State Broncos fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Boise State Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| San Diego State (7‑1) vs Hawaii (6‑3) |
2 | San Diego State Wins | 29% | 22% | 19% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 30% | 20% | 18% | 12% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Hawaii Wins | 31% | 18% | 17% | 12% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Air Force (2‑6) vs San José State (3‑5) |
1 | Air Force Wins | 30% | 21% | 19% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 30% | 20% | 18% | 12% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| San José State Wins | 29% | 20% | 18% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Nevada (1‑7) vs Utah St. (4‑4) |
1 | Nevada Wins | 31% | 21% | 19% | 14% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 30% | 20% | 18% | 12% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Utah St. Wins | 30% | 21% | 17% | 12% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Colorado St. (2‑6) vs UNLV (6‑2) |
1 | Colorado St. Wins | 30% | 22% | 21% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 30% | 20% | 18% | 12% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| UNLV Wins | 31% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||