The Most Important Games for the Fresno State Bulldogs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bulldogs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Fresno State Bulldogs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Fresno State Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Fresno State (5‑3) vs Boise State (6‑2) |
13 | Fresno State Wins | 2% | 11% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Boise State Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 4% | <1% | ||
| New Mexico (5‑3) vs UNLV (6‑1) |
2 | New Mexico Wins | 1% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 3% | <1% | ||
| UNLV Wins | 1% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Wyoming (4‑4) vs San Diego State (6‑1) |
1 | Wyoming Wins | 1% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 3% | <1% | ||
| San Diego State Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 3% | <1% | ||
| San José State (2‑5) vs Hawaii (6‑2) |
1 | San José State Wins | 1% | 5% | 9% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 9% | 9% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Hawaii Wins | 1% | 5% | 7% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 3% | <1% | ||