The Minnesota-Duluth Bulldogs What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Minnesota-Duluth plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
3* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
4* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| Win Next Game | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 24% | 25% | 19% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 20% | 23% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 15% | 20% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
3* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
4* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| Minnesota-Duluth Sweeps | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 29% | 27% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 20% | 23% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Western Michigan Sweeps | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 9% | 17% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
3* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
4* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| Best Case Scenario | 24% | 25% | 19% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 20% | 23% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 15% | 20% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Minnesota-Duluth beats Western Michigan |
Worst Case Scenario Western Michigan beats Minnesota-Duluth |
||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
3* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
4* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | ||
| 16 of 16 | 100% | 19 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 62 | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 16 | 94% | 18 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 59 | 96% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 16 | 88% | 17 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 56 | 86% | 14% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 16 | 81% | 16 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 53 | 68% | 30% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 12 of 16 | 75% | 15 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 50 | 43% | 47% | 9% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 16 | 69% | 14 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 47 | 18% | 51% | 28% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 10 of 16 | 63% | 13 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 44 | 4% | 31% | 48% | 16% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 9 of 16 | 56% | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 41 | <1% | 8% | 39% | 42% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 8 of 16 | 50% | 11 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 38 | <1% | <1% | 11% | 43% | 38% | 7% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 7 of 16 | 44% | 10 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 35 | X | <1% | 1% | 14% | 46% | 34% | 6% | <1% | <1% |
| 6 of 16 | 38% | 9 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 32 | X | X | <1% | 1% | 19% | 47% | 28% | 4% | <1% |
| 5 of 16 | 31% | 8 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 29 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 26% | 47% | 21% | 2% |
| 4 of 16 | 25% | 7 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 26 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 7% | 36% | 45% | 12% |
| 3 of 16 | 19% | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 23 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 15% | 51% | 34% |
| 2 of 16 | 13% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 20 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 34% | 63% |
| 1 of 16 | 6% | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 17 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 14% | 86% |
| 0 of 16 | 0% | 3 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 14 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 97% |