North Dakota Fighting Sioux What If?

	Resultant Record					Regular Season Finish
	WRi Wins in Regulation	WOSi Wins in OT and SO	LOSi Losses in OT and SO	LRi Losses in Regulation	Ptsi Pts = 3WR + 2WOS + 1LOS + 0LR	1^* First Round Home Ice Advantange	2^* First Round Home Ice Advantange	3^* First Round Home Ice Advantange	4^* First Round Home Ice Advantange	5	6	7	8	NT
Win Next Game	7	0	1	1	22	43%	28%	16%	8%	3%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
Current Standings	6	0	1	1	19	40%	28%	17%	9%	4%	2%	1%	<1%	<1%
Lose Next Game	6	0	1	2	19	31%	28%	19%	12%	6%	2%	1%	<1%	<1%

	Resultant Record					Regular Season Finish
	WRi Wins in Regulation	WOSi Wins in OT and SO	LOSi Losses in OT and SO	LRi Losses in Regulation	Ptsi Pts = 3WR + 2WOS + 1LOS + 0LR	1^* First Round Home Ice Advantange	2^* First Round Home Ice Advantange	3^* First Round Home Ice Advantange	4^* First Round Home Ice Advantange	5	6	7	8	NT
North Dakota Sweeps	8	0	1	1	25	45%	29%	15%	7%	2%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
Current Standings	6	0	1	1	19	40%	28%	17%	9%	4%	2%	1%	<1%	<1%
Nebraska-Omaha Sweeps	6	0	1	3	19	23%	27%	21%	14%	8%	4%	1%	<1%	<1%

	Regular Season Finish
	1^* First Round Home Ice Advantange	2^* First Round Home Ice Advantange	3^* First Round Home Ice Advantange	4^* First Round Home Ice Advantange	5	6	7	8	NT
Best Case Scenario	43%	28%	16%	8%	3%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
Current Standings	40%	28%	17%	9%	4%	2%	1%	<1%	<1%
Worst Case Scenario	31%	28%	19%	12%	6%	2%	1%	<1%	<1%
Best Case Scenario North Dakota beats Nebraska-Omaha					Worst Case Scenario Nebraska-Omaha beats North Dakota

Notes
Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three

Remaining Games Won	Winning Percentage of Remaining Games	Resultant Record					Regular Season Finish
Remaining Games Won	Winning Percentage of Remaining Games	WRi Wins in Regulation	WOSi Wins in OT and SO	LOSi Losses in OT and SO	LRi Losses in Regulation	Ptsi Pts = 3WR + 2WOS + 1LOS + 0LR	1^* First Round Home Ice Advantange	2^* First Round Home Ice Advantange	3^* First Round Home Ice Advantange	4^* First Round Home Ice Advantange	5	6	7	8	NT
16 of 16	100%	22	0	1	1	67	100%	^	^	^	^	^	^	^	^
15 of 16	94%	21	0	1	2	64	>99%	<1%	^	^	^	^	^	^	^
14 of 16	88%	20	0	1	3	61	98%	2%	^	^	^	^	^	^	^
13 of 16	81%	19	0	1	4	58	91%	9%	<1%	^	^	^	^	^	^
12 of 16	75%	18	0	1	5	55	78%	22%	<1%	<1%	^	^	^	^	^
11 of 16	69%	17	0	1	6	52	56%	42%	2%	<1%	^	^	^	^	^
10 of 16	63%	16	0	1	7	49	30%	57%	13%	<1%	<1%	^	^	^	^
9 of 16	56%	15	0	1	8	46	10%	50%	36%	4%	<1%	<1%	^	^	^
8 of 16	50%	14	0	1	9	43	1%	23%	53%	21%	1%	<1%	<1%	^	^
7 of 16	44%	13	0	1	10	40	<1%	4%	35%	48%	12%	<1%	<1%	^	^
6 of 16	38%	12	0	1	11	37	<1%	<1%	8%	40%	42%	9%	<1%	<1%	^
5 of 16	31%	11	0	1	12	34	X	<1%	<1%	12%	44%	37%	7%	<1%	<1%
4 of 16	25%	10	0	1	13	31	X	X	<1%	1%	15%	45%	33%	5%	<1%
3 of 16	19%	9	0	1	14	28	X	X	X	<1%	2%	19%	48%	28%	3%
2 of 16	13%	8	0	1	15	25	X	X	X	X	<1%	3%	27%	52%	18%
1 of 16	6%	7	0	1	16	22	X	X	X	X	X	<1%	6%	44%	50%
0 of 16	0%	6	0	1	17	19	X	X	X	X	X	<1%	<1%	19%	81%

Notes
^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
Table Sorting Method
* denotes first round home ice advantage in the post season conference tournament

NCHC Hockey - Week 11 of 22