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Sat Oct 17 11:30 pm

NCHC Hockey - Week 4 of 22

St. Thomas Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the St. Thomas Tommies are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tommies final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. St. Thomas Tommies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

St. Thomas Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Remaining
Games Winner
St. Thomas Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
3*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
4*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
5*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
6 7 8 9 10
St. Thomas
(1‑1)

vs
Miami
(3‑1)

2 Games Remaining
8 St. Thomas Sweeps 2 Games 4% 7% 9% 10% 10% 12% 13% 13% 13% 9%
Current Probabilities 3% 6% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 15% 16%
Miami Sweeps 2 Games 1% 4% 7% 8% 10% 11% 12% 14% 16% 17%
Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha
(0‑2)

vs
Denver
(2‑2)

2 Games Remaining
1 Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha Sweeps 2 Games 3% 6% 8% 9% 10% 10% 11% 12% 14% 18%
Current Probabilities 3% 6% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 15% 16%
Denver Sweeps 2 Games 3% 5% 8% 9% 10% 11% 11% 13% 15% 16%
St. Cloud State
(2‑3)

vs
Arizona St.
(4‑2)

2 Games Remaining
0 St. Cloud State Sweeps 2 Games 3% 6% 8% 9% 10% 10% 11% 12% 15% 16%
Current Probabilities 3% 6% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 15% 16%
Arizona St. Sweeps 2 Games 3% 6% 8% 9% 10% 11% 11% 12% 15% 16%
Colorado College
(3‑1)

vs
Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth
(3‑1‑2)

2 Games Remaining
0 Colorado College Sweeps 2 Games 3% 6% 8% 9% 10% 10% 11% 13% 15% 16%
Current Probabilities 3% 6% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 15% 16%
Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth Sweeps 2 Games 3% 6% 7% 9% 10% 10% 11% 12% 15% 16%


St. Thomas Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
St. Thomas Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
3*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
4*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
5*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
6 7 8 9 10
St. Thomas
(1‑1)

vs
Miami
(3‑1)
4 St. Thomas Wins 3% 6% 8% 10% 11% 11% 13% 13% 14% 11%
Current Probabilities 3% 6% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 15% 16%
Miami Wins 2% 5% 7% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 15% 17%
Colorado College
(3‑1)

vs
Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth
(3‑1‑2)
1 Colorado College Wins 3% 6% 8% 9% 10% 10% 11% 13% 14% 16%
Current Probabilities 3% 6% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 15% 16%
Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth Wins 3% 6% 8% 9% 10% 10% 11% 12% 15% 16%
Arizona St.
(4‑2)

vs
St. Cloud State
(2‑3)
0 Arizona St. Wins 3% 6% 8% 9% 10% 11% 11% 13% 15% 16%
Current Probabilities 3% 6% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 15% 16%
St. Cloud State Wins 3% 6% 8% 9% 10% 11% 11% 12% 15% 16%
Denver
(2‑2)

vs
Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha
(0‑2)
0 Denver Wins 3% 5% 8% 9% 10% 11% 11% 13% 14% 16%
Current Probabilities 3% 6% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 15% 16%
Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha Wins 3% 6% 7% 9% 10% 11% 11% 13% 15% 17%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round home ice advantage in the post season conference tournament