PlayoffStatus.com

Fri Feb 20 10:15 pm

NCHC Hockey - Week 21 of 22

Western Michigan What If?

The Western Michigan Broncos What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Western Michigan plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Western Michigan What If?

Next Game - Colorado College (12‑14‑4)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  WRi
Wins in Regulation
WOSi
Wins in OT and SO
LOSi
Losses in OT and SO
LRi
Losses in Regulation
Ptsi
Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR
1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
3*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
4*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
5 6 7 8 NT
Win Next Game 13 2 1 5 44 26% 23% 51% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Standings 12 2 1 5 41 20% 21% 59% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Lose Next Game 12 2 1 6 41 5% 16% 79% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^


Current Series - Colorado College (12‑14‑4) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  WRi
Wins in Regulation
WOSi
Wins in OT and SO
LOSi
Losses in OT and SO
LRi
Losses in Regulation
Ptsi
Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR
1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
3*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
4*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
5 6 7 8 NT
Western Michigan Sweeps 14 2 1 5 47 33% 24% 43% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Standings 12 2 1 5 41 20% 21% 59% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Colorado College Sweeps 12 2 1 7 41 <1% 5% 94% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Regular Season Finish
  1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
3*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
4*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
5 6 7 8 NT
Best Case Scenario 26% 23% 51% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Standings 20% 21% 59% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Worst Case Scenario 5% 16% 79% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Best Case Scenario
   Western Michigan beats Colorado College
Worst Case Scenario
   Colorado College beats Western Michigan
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
WRi
Wins in Regulation
WOSi
Wins in OT and SO
LOSi
Losses in OT and SO
LRi
Losses in Regulation
Ptsi
Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR
1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
3*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
4*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
5 6 7 8 NT
4 of 4 100% 16 2 1 5 53 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
3 of 4 75% 15 2 1 6 50 10% 49% 41% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
2 of 4 50% 14 2 1 7 47 <1% 11% 89% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
1 of 4 25% 13 2 1 8 44 X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
0 of 4 0% 12 2 1 9 41 X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home ice advantage in the post season conference tournament