The Western Michigan Broncos What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Western Michigan plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
3* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
4* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| Win Next Game | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 15% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| Lose Next Game | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 8% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 1% |
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
3* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
4* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| Western Michigan Sweeps | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 19% | 24% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| Minnesota-Duluth Sweeps | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 5% | 12% | 17% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 2% |
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
3* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
4* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| Best Case Scenario | 15% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 12% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 8% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Western Michigan beats Minnesota-Duluth |
Worst Case Scenario Minnesota-Duluth beats Western Michigan |
||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
3* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
4* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | ||
| 16 of 16 | 100% | 21 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 63 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 16 | 94% | 20 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 60 | 98% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 16 | 88% | 19 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 57 | 89% | 10% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 16 | 81% | 18 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 54 | 74% | 25% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 12 of 16 | 75% | 17 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 51 | 51% | 44% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 16 | 69% | 16 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 48 | 25% | 54% | 20% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 10 of 16 | 63% | 15 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 45 | 7% | 40% | 43% | 10% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 9 of 16 | 56% | 14 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 1% | 15% | 47% | 33% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 8 of 16 | 50% | 13 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 39 | <1% | 2% | 22% | 50% | 25% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 7 of 16 | 44% | 12 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 36 | X | <1% | 3% | 28% | 49% | 19% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| 6 of 16 | 38% | 11 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 33 | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 33% | 46% | 14% | 1% | <1% |
| 5 of 16 | 31% | 10 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 30 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 10% | 40% | 40% | 10% | <1% |
| 4 of 16 | 25% | 9 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 27 | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 16% | 46% | 33% | 5% |
| 3 of 16 | 19% | 8 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 24 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 26% | 51% | 21% |
| 2 of 16 | 13% | 7 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 21 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 7% | 44% | 49% |
| 1 of 16 | 6% | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 18 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 22% | 78% |
| 0 of 16 | 0% | 5 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 15 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 6% | 94% |