The Most Important Games for the Western Illinois Leathernecks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Leathernecks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Western Illinois Leathernecks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Western Illinois Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Western Illinois (8‑9) vs Morehead St. (10‑7) |
26 | Western Illinois Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 46% | ||
| Morehead St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 50% | ||
| Eastern Illinois (5‑11) vs Tenn-MartinTN-Martin (7‑10) |
3 | Eastern Illinois Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 46% | ||
| Tenn-MartinTN-Martin Wins | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 46% | ||
| Lindenwood (8‑9) vs Southern Indiana (6‑10) |
2 | Lindenwood Wins | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 46% | ||
| Southern Indiana Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 46% | ||
| SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville (11‑6) vs Tennessee St. (6‑11) |
2 | SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 46% | ||
| Tennessee St. Wins | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 48% | ||
| UALR (9‑7) vs SE Missouri St. (9‑8) |
1 | UALR Wins | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 46% | ||
| SE Missouri St. Wins | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 46% | ||