The Most Important Games for the Texas State Bobcats are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bobcats final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Texas State Bobcats fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Texas State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
2* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
3** First and Second Round Byes |
4** First and Second Round Byes |
5*** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Texas State (4‑0) vs Colorado St. (3‑0) |
60 | Texas State Wins | 20% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 4% | ||
| Colorado St. Wins | 12% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 5% | ||
| Boise St. (2‑0) vs Utah St. (3‑0) |
2 | Boise St. Wins | 17% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 4% | ||
| Utah St. Wins | 17% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 4% | ||
| San Diego St. (2‑0) vs Oregon St. (3‑0) |
2 | San Diego St. Wins | 17% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 4% | ||
| Oregon St. Wins | 17% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 4% | ||
| Washington St. (0‑2) vs Fresno St. (2‑1) |
2 | Washington St. Wins | 17% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 4% | ||
| Fresno St. Wins | 17% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 4% | ||