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Fri Feb 21 11:45 am

Patriot League Basketball - Week 16 of 17

Bucknell Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Bucknell Bison are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bison final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bucknell Bison fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Bucknell Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Bucknell Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5*
First Round Bye
6*
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
8**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Bucknell
(14‑14)

vs
Army
(16‑11)
47 Bucknell Wins 26% 55% 15% 4% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities 14% 29% 35% 18% 5% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Army Wins <1% 3% 55% 33% 9% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Loyola-MD
(10‑16)

vs
Colgate
(12‑16)
5 Loyola-MD Wins 16% 28% 39% 14% 3% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities 14% 29% 35% 18% 5% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Colgate Wins 12% 29% 30% 22% 6% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Navy
(10‑18)

vs
Holy Cross
(13‑15)
3 Navy Wins 15% 30% 32% 18% 5% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities 14% 29% 35% 18% 5% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Holy Cross Wins 13% 28% 35% 19% 5% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
American
(17‑11)

vs
Boston U.
(14‑14)
2 American Wins 9% 33% 38% 18% 2% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities 14% 29% 35% 18% 5% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Boston U. Wins 24% 20% 26% 20% 10% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Lafayette
(10‑18)

vs
Lehigh
(10‑16)
0 Lafayette Wins 14% 29% 35% 18% 5% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities 14% 29% 35% 18% 5% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Lehigh Wins 14% 29% 35% 18% 5% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament