The Most Important Games for the Colgate Raiders are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Raiders final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Colgate Raiders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Colgate Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Colgate (14‑10) vs Bucknell (8‑15) |
15 | Colgate Wins | 24% | 60% | 13% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 55% | 18% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bucknell Wins | 12% | 50% | 25% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Holy Cross (8‑16) vs Lehigh (10‑14) |
3 | Holy Cross Wins | 20% | 57% | 17% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 55% | 18% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Lehigh Wins | 20% | 53% | 19% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Navy (18‑6) vs American (13‑11) |
3 | Navy Wins | 16% | 63% | 15% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 55% | 18% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| American Wins | 27% | 41% | 24% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Boston U. (9‑15) vs Loyola-MD (9‑15) |
0 | Boston U. Wins | 20% | 56% | 18% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 55% | 18% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Loyola-MD Wins | 20% | 55% | 18% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Lafayette (6‑17) vs Army (10‑14) |
0 | Lafayette Wins | 20% | 56% | 17% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 55% | 18% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Army Wins | 20% | 55% | 18% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||