The Most Important Games for the Colgate Raiders are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Raiders final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Colgate Raiders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Colgate Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Colgate (12‑16) vs Loyola-MD (10‑16) |
26 | Colgate Wins | 3% | 12% | 24% | 43% | 17% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 7% | 20% | 43% | 28% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Loyola-MD Wins | <1% | 1% | 15% | 42% | 40% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| American (17‑11) vs Boston U. (14‑14) |
13 | American Wins | 1% | 5% | 24% | 50% | 19% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 7% | 20% | 43% | 28% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Boston U. Wins | 4% | 11% | 11% | 26% | 46% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Navy (10‑18) vs Holy Cross (13‑15) |
1 | Navy Wins | 2% | 7% | 20% | 43% | 26% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 7% | 20% | 43% | 28% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Holy Cross Wins | 2% | 8% | 19% | 41% | 30% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Army (16‑11) vs Bucknell (14‑14) |
1 | Army Wins | 1% | 7% | 24% | 41% | 26% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 7% | 20% | 43% | 28% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bucknell Wins | 3% | 8% | 14% | 45% | 29% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lafayette (10‑18) vs Lehigh (10‑16) |
0 | Lafayette Wins | 2% | 7% | 20% | 43% | 28% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 7% | 20% | 43% | 28% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lehigh Wins | 2% | 7% | 20% | 43% | 28% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||