The Most Important Games for the Colgate Raiders are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Raiders final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Colgate Raiders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Colgate Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Colgate (1‑3) vs Army (3‑2) |
21 | Colgate Wins | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | ||
| Army Wins | 2% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 14% | ||
| Lafayette (1‑4) vs Boston U. (1‑4) |
3 | Lafayette Wins | 4% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | ||
| Boston U. Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | ||
| Holy Cross (4‑2) vs Loyola-MD (2‑3) |
2 | Holy Cross Wins | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | ||
| Loyola-MD Wins | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 15% | ||
| American (1‑4) vs Navy (1‑4) |
0 | American Wins | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | ||
| Navy Wins | 4% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 13% | 14% | ||
| Lehigh (1‑4) vs Bucknell (4‑2) |
0 | Lehigh Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | ||
| Bucknell Wins | 4% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% | ||