The Most Important Games for the Lafayette Leopards are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Leopards final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lafayette Leopards fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lafayette Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Lafayette (5‑16) vs Bucknell (6‑15) |
18 | Lafayette Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 13% | 19% | 23% | 32% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 15% | 23% | 44% | ||
| Bucknell Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 23% | 55% | ||
| Navy (15‑6) vs Boston U. (8‑13) |
3 | Navy Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 22% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 15% | 23% | 44% | ||
| Boston U. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 15% | 23% | 45% | ||
| American (13‑8) vs Loyola-MD (7‑14) |
3 | American Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 22% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 15% | 23% | 44% | ||
| Loyola-MD Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 21% | 50% | ||
| Colgate (12‑9) vs Holy Cross (8‑13) |
1 | Colgate Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 22% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 15% | 23% | 44% | ||
| Holy Cross Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 23% | 45% | ||
| Lehigh (9‑12) vs Army (8‑13) |
0 | Lehigh Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 15% | 23% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 15% | 23% | 44% | ||
| Army Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 15% | 22% | 45% | ||