Patriot League Basketball - Week 16 of 17

Lehigh Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Lehigh Mountain Hawks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mountain Hawks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lehigh Mountain Hawks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Lehigh Most Important Games
Game	Importance Factor (0‑∼100)	Game Winner	Lehigh Resultant Probabilities
			Regular Season Finish
			1^* First Round Bye	2^* First Round Bye	3^* First Round Bye	4^* First Round Bye	5^* First Round Bye	6^* First Round Bye	7^** First Round Home Field Advantage	8^** First Round Home Field Advantage	9	10

Lehigh (10‑16) vs Lafayette (10‑18)	17	Lehigh Wins	X	X	X	X	<1%	3%	43%	29%	22%	2%
		Current Probabilities	X	X	X	X	<1%	1%	27%	23%	21%	27%
		Lafayette Wins	X	X	X	X	X	<1%	11%	17%	21%	51%

Colgate (12‑16) vs Loyola-MD (10‑16)	4	Colgate Wins	X	X	X	X	<1%	2%	34%	20%	17%	27%
		Current Probabilities	X	X	X	X	<1%	1%	27%	23%	21%	27%
		Loyola-MD Wins	X	X	X	X	<1%	1%	19%	25%	27%	28%

Navy (10‑18) vs Holy Cross (13‑15)	1	Navy Wins	X	X	X	X	X	X	33%	29%	19%	19%
		Current Probabilities	X	X	X	X	<1%	1%	27%	23%	21%	27%
		Holy Cross Wins	X	X	X	X	<1%	2%	23%	19%	23%	33%

Boston U. (14‑14) vs American (17‑11)	0	Boston U. Wins	X	X	X	X	X	2%	27%	23%	21%	27%
		Current Probabilities	X	X	X	X	<1%	1%	27%	23%	21%	27%
		American Wins	X	X	X	X	<1%	1%	27%	23%	21%	27%

Bucknell (14‑14) vs Army (16‑11)	0	Bucknell Wins	X	X	X	X	<1%	1%	27%	23%	21%	27%
		Current Probabilities	X	X	X	X	<1%	1%	27%	23%	21%	27%
		Army Wins	X	X	X	X	<1%	1%	27%	23%	21%	27%

Notes
^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
* denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
** denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament